| 枣庄市紫外线辐射强度分析与分月预报方程 |
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| 引用本文： | 苑文华,张艳红,张立文,张玉洁.枣庄市紫外线辐射强度分析与分月预报方程[J].安徽农业科学,2010,38(31):17617-17620. |
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| 作者姓名： | 苑文华 张艳红 张立文 张玉洁 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 山东省枣庄市气象局,山东枣庄,277800
2. 山东省大气探测技术保障中心,山东济南,250031 |
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| 摘 要： | 在分析2008～2009年枣庄地区紫外线辐射观测资料的基础上，得出紫外线辐射强度的变化特征：紫外线辐射夏季最强、冬季最弱；紫外线辐射强度日最大值出现在13：00前后；各季节紫外线辐射强度的日变化相似，正午呈大致对称分布。紫外线辐射强度与影响气溶胶光学厚度的大气浑浊度以及天气状况等因素有很好的相关。利用逐步回归方法推导得出枣庄紫外线强度每月预报方程，其平均复相关系数达0．9240。经实际观测资料试报验证，表明该方法对枣庄地区紫外线强度预报具有一定的准确度和实际的业务应用价值。
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| 关 键 词： | 紫外线辐射强度 气溶胶光学厚度 预报方程 逐步回归 |
Analysis of UV Radiation Intensity and Monthly Forcast Equations in Zaozhuang |
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| YUAN Wen-hua et al.Analysis of UV Radiation Intensity and Monthly Forcast Equations in Zaozhuang[J].Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences,2010,38(31):17617-17620. |
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| Authors: | YUAN Wen-hua |
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| Institution: | YUAN Wen-hua et al(Zaozhuang Meteorological Bureau,Zaozhuang,Sh,ong 277800) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the analysis of the ultraviolet data in Zaozhuang,the variation features of its ultraviolet radiation intensity were obtained.Results indicated that the UV radiation intensity was the strongest in summer and the weakest in winter;the maximum UV radiation intensity during a day appeared around 13:00;the diurnal variations of UV intensity in each seasons were similar,presenting a roughly symmetrical distribution at noon.UV radiation intensity had obvious correlation with atmospheric turbidity and eea... |
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| Keywords: | UV radiation intensity AOD Forecast equations Stepwise regression |
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