黑龙江省蔬菜产业生产影响因素的实证研究

蔬菜在种植业中占有举足轻重的地位,黑龙江省正在加快将蔬菜产业打造为玉米替代产业,以发挥其保供、增收和促就业的重要作用,且人口增长和市场需求的多样化,也需要蔬菜产业的快速和规模化发展。基于历年《黑龙江统计年鉴》数据,采用逐步回归方法分析蔬菜产业生产的关键因素,并对影响因素进行深入分析,就黑龙江省蔬菜产量提高提供对策建议,以期为黑龙江省蔬菜产业的可持续发展提供参考。结果表明:影响黑龙江省蔬菜产业生产的关键因素在于经济发展、技术投入和土地,而市场因素和机械化程度的影响并不十分明显。针对以上现状,提出了通过加强政策连续性,加大技术投入,加快蔬菜产业结构调整以及加工行业的发展,来提高蔬菜质量,推动蔬菜产业的健康发展,从而推进农业供给侧改革、促进农民持续增收。

Empirical Study on Factors Affecting Vegetable Production in Heilongjiang

Vegetables play an important role in farming.Heilongjiang Province is accelerating the replacement of corn industry with vegetable industry,in order to play an important role in ensuring supply,increasing income and promoting employment.And the diversification of population growth and market demand also needs the rapid and large-scale development of vegetable industry.In this study,the key factors of vegetable industry production were analyzed by stepwise regression method based on the Statistical Yearbook of Heilongjiang Province,in-depth of influencing factors were made,in order to make some suggestions on improving vegetable production in Heilongjiang Province to provide reference for sustainable development of vegetable industry in Heilongjiang Province.The results showed that the key factor that affects the production of vegetable industry in Heilongjiang Province was that the economic development,technology investment and land.But the influence of market factor and mechanization degree was not very obvious.In view of the above situation,this study puts forward the improvement of vegetable quality and the healthy development of vegetable industry by strengthening the policy continuity and increasing the technical input to quicken the adjustment of vegetable industry structure and the development of processing industry.In order to promote agricultural supply-side reform and increase farmers′continuous income.