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温棚草莓的旅游观光期预测研究
引用本文:赵隆香,金惠瑛,祁如英.温棚草莓的旅游观光期预测研究[J].青海农林科技,2014(4):6-8.
作者姓名:赵隆香  金惠瑛  祁如英
作者单位:1. 西宁市气象局,青海西宁,810001
2. 青海省人工影响天气办公室,青海西宁,810001
3. 青海气象信息中心,青海西宁,810001
摘    要:2012年11月-2013年5月通过对温棚草莓开花—果实采摘发育期的观测和同期温棚内外的气温、地温、湿度条件的观测统计分析得出:青海西宁地区草莓生长期温棚内外的气温、地温、湿度变化特征效应显著,其相关性r=0.86-0.99;温棚草莓采摘观光旅游期预测模型是用温棚外的气象要素值建立,此预测模型即实用又方便,其预测期与实际出现期基本一致,通过F0.01信度检验,具有一定的实际使用推广价值。为青海省推广特色设施农业的观光旅游提供科学的参考依据。

关 键 词:温棚  草莓  旅游观光期  预测

Study on Prediction of Greenhouse Strawberry Tourism Period
ZHAO Long-xiang,JIN Hui-ying,QI Ru-ying.Study on Prediction of Greenhouse Strawberry Tourism Period[J].Science and Technology of Qinghai Agriculture and Forestry,2014(4):6-8.
Authors:ZHAO Long-xiang  JIN Hui-ying  QI Ru-ying
Institution:ZHAO Long-xiang, JIN Hui-ying, QI Ru-ying (1. Xining Meteorological Bureau ,Xining Qinghai 810001, China; 2. Qinghai Weather Modification Office, Xining Qinghai 810001, China ; 3. Qinghai Meteorological Information Center,Xining Qinghai 810001, China)
Abstract:There are significant variety characteristics of strawberry growth period in temperature,ground temperature and humidity of inside and outside the greenhouse by observing the development of strawberry flower and fruit in greenhouse,analyzing the temperature of inside and outside of greenhouse,ground temperature and humidity from November 2012 to May 2013 in Xining,Qinghai. The correlative index r = 0. 86-0. 99. It is established that the prediction model of strawberry greenhouses picking sightseeing period based on meteorological forecast outside of the greenhouse. The prediction model is practical and convenient. The forecast and actual period are consensus through F0. 01 reliability test. It has certain value of practical application and promotion. The purpose is promoting special agricultural tourism and providing scientific reference in Qinghai Province.
Keywords:Greenhouse  Strawberries  Tourism period  Prediction
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