| 山东省四种主要农作物的产量预测分析及增产对策 |
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| 引用本文： | 丁萃华.山东省四种主要农作物的产量预测分析及增产对策[J].山东农业科学,2010(9). |
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| 作者姓名： | 丁萃华 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东行政学院,山东,济南,250014 |
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| 基金项目： | 山东省软科学基金课题 |
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| 摘 要： | 分析了近年山东省棉花、小麦、玉米、花生四种农作物产量状况,并对2010~2017年的单产、总产进行了预测,结果显示,除花生总产外,其余三种作物总产均稳中有升。在分析了山东省该四种作物产量提高的制约因素后,提出了重视县域发展、适度增加种粮面积、不断优化品种结构、发展订单农业、优化粮食区域布局等增产措施。
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| 关 键 词： | 山东省 主要农作物 产量预测 灰色系统 |
Yield Forecast of Four Main Crops and Countermeasures for Yield Increase in Shandong Province |
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| DING Cui-hua.Yield Forecast of Four Main Crops and Countermeasures for Yield Increase in Shandong Province[J].Shandong Agricultural Sciences,2010(9). |
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| Authors: | DING Cui-hua |
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| Institution: | DING Cui-hua(Shandong Administration Institute,Jinan 250014,China) |
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| Abstract: | The present output of main crops such as cotton,wheat,corn and peanut was analyzed and their yield per 666.7 m2 and total yield were forecast by grey system.The results showed that their total yields increased except that of peanut.The factors restraining the yield increase of the four crops were also analyzed.Then the countermeasures were put forward,such as attaching great importance to the development of county level,increasing the crop planting area,optimizing the cultivar structure,developing the made-... |
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| Keywords: | Shandong Province Main crops Yield forecast Grey system |
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