| 国家气象中心精细化温度预报产品在喀什地区的检验 |
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| 作者姓名： | 希热娜依·铁里瓦尔地 杨丽鸿 热孜瓦古·孜比布拉 |
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| 作者单位： | 喀什地区气象局 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用2014年6月3日至2015年12月31日喀什地区9个县(市)逐日最高和最低气温实况资料和国家气象中心精细化指导预报产品中20:00日最高和最低气温进行比较,结果显示误差在-2~2℃,并分析了大值预报误差影响因子。
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| 关 键 词： | 精细化指导预报 温度 准确率 统计检验 误差 |
Inspection of Fine Temperature Prediction Products of National Meteorological Center in Kashgar Area |
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| Institution: | (Kashgar Meteorological Bureau, Kashgar, Xinjiang 844000) |
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| Abstract: | The daily maximum and minimum temperature data of 9 counties (cities) in Kashgar region from June 3rd, 2014 to December 31st, 2015 were compared with the 20:00 maximum and minimum temperature in the fined guidance forecast products of the National Meteorological Center. The results showed that the errors were -2~2℃, and the influencing factors of the maximum forecast errors were analyzed. |
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| Keywords: | Fined guidance forecast Temperature Accuracy Statistical test Error |
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