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我国用水结构的分析与预测
引用本文:潘雄锋,刘凤朝,郭蓉蓉.我国用水结构的分析与预测[J].干旱区资源与环境,2008,22(10):11-14.
作者姓名:潘雄锋  刘凤朝  郭蓉蓉
作者单位:大连理工大学经济系
摘    要:本文首先对我国用水结构现状及发展趋势进行了分析,然后提出一种成份数据的预测方法,用于分析饼图中每个份额随时间变化的状况,同时利用该方法,并结合灰色系统建模方法对我国2005-2010年的用水结构进行预测。

关 键 词:用水结构  成分数据  GM(1  1)模型  分析  预测

Analysis and Forecast of Water Utilization Structure in China
PAN Xiong-feng,LIU Feng-chao,GUO Rong-rong.Analysis and Forecast of Water Utilization Structure in China[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2008,22(10):11-14.
Authors:PAN Xiong-feng  LIU Feng-chao  GUO Rong-rong
Abstract:The present situation and development tendency of water utilization structure was analyzed.Then a compositional data forecast method was proposed to analyze the dynamic features of each composition in a pie chart,and water utilization structure of China in 2005-2010 was forecasted by using this method combining with the model establishment of gray system.
Keywords:water utilization structure  compositional data method  GM(1  1) model  analysis  forecast
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