| 玉米期货市场价格走势及影响因素分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 王燕青,王晓蜀,武拉平.玉米期货市场价格走势及影响因素分析[J].农业展望,2014(11):30-35. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王燕青 王晓蜀 武拉平 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京100083 |
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| 基金项目： | 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 以玉米的期货价格为主要研究对象,重点对影响价格的宏观、微观及国际政策因素进行梳理分析。2004年9月22日玉米期货品种上市,至今已有10年时间,对2005—2014年玉米的期货价格走势进行了分析,旨在通过分析玉米期货上市后的价格变化情况,明确影响中国玉米价格的决定性因素,从饲料粮需求、种植成本、临时收储政策和期货市场投机4个方面进行了分析,最后对价格的未来变化情况进行了展望,并给出了相关政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 玉米期货 价格波动 期货合约 影响因素 风险 |
Price Trend of Maize Futures and Influencing Factors |
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| Wang Yanqing,Wang Xiaoshu,Wu Laping.Price Trend of Maize Futures and Influencing Factors[J].Agricultural Outlook,2014(11):30-35. |
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| Authors: | Wang Yanqing Wang Xiaoshu Wu Laping |
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| Institution: | (College of Economics ＆ Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083) |
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| Abstract: | This paper selected maize futures price as the main research object, focusing on the analysis of the factors influencing on price such as macro, micro and international policy. Maize futures has been listed for 10 years since September 22, 2004.The authors aimed to analyze price changes in 2005-2014 and made the decisive factors clear in affecting maize price. Four aspects were analyzed from the feed grain demand, planting costs, temporary storage policy and speculation in futures market, finally changes were forecasted in the future and relevant policy recommendations were put forward. |
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| Keywords: | maize futures price volatility futures contracts influencing factor risk |
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