2013年中国食糖消费形势分析与2014年展望

基于国内外宏观经济形势、国内涉糖行业运行状况、食糖供需信息和国内市场调控政策等方面,剖析了2013年中国食糖消费市场的总体形势与当前的特点,得出如下主要结论：一是食糖消费总体呈现稳定增长态势,个别行业增幅有所下降;二是国内外食糖价差持续存在,进口糖利润动机推动食糖进口,挤占了部分国产糖消费市场,导致国内食糖库存高企;三是累计销糖量同比上升,但受市场调控政策影响较大,当月销糖增量出现差异性特征.另外,走私糖和淀粉糖也在一定程度上挤占了国产糖消费市场.综合糖价走势、消费需求和产业政策等来看,估计2014年食糖消费形势应持平或略好于2013年.

Domestic Sugar Market Consumption in 2013 and Its Future Prospect in 2014

Based on the macro-economic situation at home and abroad, running state of sugar-related industries, supply and demand information and market regulatory policies, three conclusions were carried out by analyzing China＇s sugar consumption market situation in 2013 and current characteristics. Firstly, sugar consumption showed a general steady growth, though some individual sugar-related industries suffered a decline. Secondly, the price spread between foreign and domestic sugar market continued existing and high profit of imported sugar promoted its inflow, which preempted some domestic sugar consumption market share and led to high inventory of domestic sugar. Thirdly, total sugar sales volume rose compared with last year while monthly increment of sugar sales showed various characteristic as the result of the market regulation and control polices. In addition, starch sugar and smuggled sugar have occupied certain part of China＇s sugar market to some extent. Taking sugar price trend, consumer demand and industrial polices together into consideration, it was estimated that the sugar consumption in 2014 would not perform worse than that of 2013.