| 河南省获嘉县气象灾害风险评估系统研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 祝新建,臧新洲.河南省获嘉县气象灾害风险评估系统研究[J].安徽农业科学,2012,40(26):12873-12875. |
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| 作者姓名： | 祝新建 臧新洲 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国气象局,河南省农业气象保障与应用技术重点实验室,河南郑州450003;河南省获嘉县气象局,河南获嘉453800;中国气象局,河南省农业气象保障与应用技术重点实验室,河南郑州450003;河南省获嘉县气象局,河南获嘉453800 |
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| 基金项目： | 科技部公益类行业(气象)专项(GYHY201006027) |
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| 摘 要： | 根据获嘉县1961～2010年的气象资料和当地的耕地面积、人口密度和当地居民的经济状况等资料,利用气象材料、方法及评价指标,从暴雨、冰雹、大风等方面对致灾因子进行分析,利用ACRGIS软件插值法进行各种因子的风险区划,并建立了获嘉县的农业气象灾害损失的结构型统计评估模型。结果表明:暴雨、冰雹和大风灾害发生概率高,气象灾害综合风险程度较高的地方主要分布在照镜镇、位庄乡、中和镇和徐营镇,风险程度相对较小的地方主要是城关镇、黄堤镇和亢村镇。
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| 关 键 词： | 气象灾害 风险评估 获嘉县 |
Study of Meteorological Disaster Risk Assessment System of Huojia County |
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| Institution: | ZHU Xin-jian et al(Henan Key Laboratory of Agrometeorological Ensuring and Applied Technique,CMA,Zhengzhou,Henan 450003) |
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| Abstract: | According to the meteorological data and the data about local farmland area,population density and economic status in Huojia County from 1961 to 2010,some disaster-inducing factors,such as rainstorm,hail,strong wind,etc.,were analyzed with the evaluation index,and then a risk zoning map was obtained with the ACRGIS software interpolation method.Finally a structural statistical assessment model was established for evaluating the losses caused by agricultural meteorological disasters.As indicated by the results,rainstorm,hail and strong wind disasters occurr frequently in this area,especially in Zhaojing,Weizhuang,Zhonghe and Xuying Towns,the areas with low risks of meteorological disasters were Chengguan,Huangdi Kangcun Villages. |
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| Keywords: | Meteorological disaster Risk assessment Huojia |
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