资兴市耕地动态变化的驱动力研究

针对资兴市1996～2004年间耕地数量变化的驱动力进行分析,试图揭示内地城市化过程中耕地利用变化的驱动机制.结果表明:尝试性地建立驱动因子指标体系,并运用 SAS 统计软件对55个驱动因子进行相关性分析,得出36个与耕地面积变化相关性较强的因子,运用主成分分析法对上述36个驱动因子进行分析.归纳出经济发展、城市建设、产业结构变化和科技进步为资兴市耕地利用变化的主要驱动因子,并进一步分析了这些驱动因子与耕地变化的关系.

Studies on the Driving Forces of Cultivated land Changes in Zixing City

Taking Zixing city as the case,the research studies the driving forces for the cultivated land during the period of 1996～2004,and attempts to promulgate the driving mechanism for the cultivated land in the urbanization process of inland city.The results are as follows: Experimentally establish a target system of driving forces factor;Ousing the SAS statistical software to make a correlation analysis for the 55 driving forces factors,and obtains 36 factors which has strong relevance with the cultivated area change;using the principal components analytic method to analyze the above 36 driving forces factors.Then this article summarizes the mainly driving forces factors are economical development,the urban construction,the change of industrial structure and advance in technology,finally analyzes the relations between the driving forces factors and the cultivated land change.