| 拓扑预测方法在马尾松毛虫发生危害超长预报中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 马占山. 拓扑预测方法在马尾松毛虫发生危害超长预报中的应用[J]. 河北林果研究, 1989, 4(3): 32-38 |
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| 作者姓名： | 马占山 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京林业大学 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文探讨将拓扑预测方法应用于害虫种群动态的长期预报中,以马尾松毛虫为实例,进行了研究。研究结果表明:拓扑预测不仅能得出害虫种群的长期动态趋势,进行长期预报,而且拓扑预测图显示了未来的害虫猖獗周期及发展过程,具有一定的理论意义和实际应用价值。
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| 关 键 词： | 拓扑预测 长期预报 灰色系统 马尾松毛虫 |
APPLICATION OF GREY TOPOLOGICAL FORECASTING METHOD IN THE SuPER-LONGTERM PREDICTION OF INSECT PEST DAMAGE, --WITH PARTICULAR REFERENCE TO THE STUDY OF Dendrolimus punctatus |
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| Ma Zhanshan. APPLICATION OF GREY TOPOLOGICAL FORECASTING METHOD IN THE SuPER-LONGTERM PREDICTION OF INSECT PEST DAMAGE, --WITH PARTICULAR REFERENCE TO THE STUDY OF Dendrolimus punctatus[J]. Hebei Journal of Forestry and Orchard Research, 1989, 4(3): 32-38 |
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| Authors: | Ma Zhanshan |
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| Affiliation: | Beijing Forestry University |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, the grey topological forecasting method is introduced for the super-longterra prediction of insect pest population, the study was carried out with Dendrolimus punctatus.It concludes that, with the method, not only the long term trend of pest population dynamics but also the outbreak periods and process can be predicted. And it possesses a oertain theoretical significance and application value. |
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| Keywords: | Grey Topological Forecasting Longterm Forecasting GreySystem Dendrolimus punctatus |
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