我国大陆农产品出口台湾地区的变动分析

运用恒定市场份额模型，定量分析了1992-2002年我国大陆农产品出口台湾地区的竞争效应、商品构成效应和市场规模效应构成。结果表明，大陆对台湾农产品出口贸易中，主要产品类型集中在劳动密集型产品和中草药等一些特定产品领域；竞争效应是大陆农产品对台湾出口增加的主要原因，是农产品贸易顺差产生的关键因素；市场规模效应和商品构成效应对大陆农产品出口的增加起到了逆向作用，其中对台湾需求较高的农产品出口较少是造成商品构成效应不明显的原因。

The change of agricultural product export from Chinese Mainland to Chinese Taiwan

The paper, with constant market share model, analyzed the composition of competition, commodity composing and market scale effect on agricultural export from Chinese Mainland to Taiwan during 1992 and 2002. The results showed that labor-intensive and some special products from Chinese Mainland, like Chinese traditional medicine, were favorable in the agricultural exportation to Chinese Taiwan. Competitive effect, the main reason for the remarkable increase in exportation to Chinese Taiwan, was the key factor controlling Chinese Mainland to obtain surplus between cross-straight agricultural trade. In contrast, commodity composition and market scale effect were negative factors. There was scarce exportation of the products which Chinese Taiwan much required, which might be the main reason for little commodity composing effect.