| 基于灰色系统的我国居民生活用水预测分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵桂生. 基于灰色系统的我国居民生活用水预测分析[J]. 北京农业职业学院学报, 2017, 31(6): 53-57. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-7252.2017.06.010 |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵桂生 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京农业职业学院,北京,102442 |
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| 基金项目： | 北京市教育委员会科技项目(KM201612448007) |
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| 摘 要： | 以2005—2014年10年间我国居民生活用水资料为依据,应用灰色理论构建等维递补动态GM(1,1)模型,对我国居民生活用水进行预测.统计检验和误差分析结果表明,该模型预测精度高,可靠性强,结果符合实际,为制定城市居民生活用水标准和水价提供了科学依据.
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| 关 键 词： | 生活用水 GM(1,1)模型 等维递补 用水预测 |
| 收稿时间： | 2017-05-19 |
Prediction and Analysis of Domestic Water Consumption in China Based onModified GM (1,1) Model With Equal Dimension |
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| ZHAO Gui-sheng. Prediction and Analysis of Domestic Water Consumption in China Based onModified GM (1,1) Model With Equal Dimension[J]. Journal of Beijing Agricultural Vocation College, 2017, 31(6): 53-57. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-7252.2017.06.010 |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Gui-sheng |
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| Affiliation: | Beijing Vocational College of Agricultural, Beijing 102442,China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the data of our country domestic water consumption in 2005-2014 years,forecast of our country domestic water consumption was done by the equidimensional filling vacanciesdynamic GM(1,1) model with the grey theory. Statistical test and error analysis results showed that themodel prediction accuracy was high, the result accorded with actual, reliability, and scientific basis wasprovided to make the standard of the urban residents domestic water and water price. |
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| Keywords: | domestic water GM (1,1) model equidimensional filling vacancies waterconsumption forecast |
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