| 油菜菌核病FUZZY预测法的商榷 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙泉良,陈建仁,叶传伟.油菜菌核病FUZZY预测法的商榷[J].植物保护,2010,36(3):134-135. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙泉良 陈建仁 叶传伟 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 浙江省富阳市病虫测报站,311400
2. 浙江省富阳市气象局,311400 |
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| 基金项目： | 富阳市"135"中青年科技人才培养基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据油菜菌核病的"气象型"特性,本文运用FUZZY数学理论,用3个具有较好指示性的气象预报因子,建立了贴近度运算模型,并结合富阳市油菜菌核病的实际发生情况,设定了FUZZY贴近度预测规则。结果表明,该技术不仅回测拟合率高,而且取得了连续2年的试报成功。
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| 关 键 词： | 油菜菌核病 FUZZY贴近度 预测 |
Discussion on the fuzzy prediction method of Sclerotinia |
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| Sun Quanliang,Chen Jianren,Ye Chuanwei.Discussion on the fuzzy prediction method of Sclerotinia[J].Plant Protection,2010,36(3):134-135. |
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| Authors: | Sun Quanliang Chen Jianren Ye Chuanwei |
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| Institution: | 1. Zhejiang Fuyang Pest Monitoring Station, Fuyang 311400, China;2. Zhejiang Fuyang Meteorological Bureau, Fuyang 311400, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the “weather type”features of Sclerotinia, the authors applied the fuzzy mathematical theory to establish a closeness computing model by three factors of weather forecast as robust indicators. The rules of fuzzy closeness forecast were also set up. This technology not only had a high fitting rate in return tests, but also has achieved success in test reports for two years. |
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| Keywords: | Sclerotinia fuzzy closeness forecast |
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