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塔里木河下游水生态安全评价及驱动要素分析
引用本文:李梦怡,邓铭江,凌红波,王光焰,徐生武. 塔里木河下游水生态安全评价及驱动要素分析[J]. 干旱区研究, 2021, 38(1): 39-47
作者姓名:李梦怡  邓铭江  凌红波  王光焰  徐生武
作者单位:天津大学水利工程仿真与安全国家重点实验室,天津 300350;天津大学建筑工程学院,天津 300350;新疆额尔齐斯河流域开发工程建设管理局,新疆乌鲁木齐 830000;中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,新疆乌鲁木齐 830011;新疆塔里木河流域干流管理局,新疆库尔勒 841000
基金项目:中国科学院“西部青年学者”项目(2019-XBQNXZ-A-001);新疆天山青年计划(2019Q006);中国科学院科技服务网络计划(STS计划)项目(KFJ-STS-QYZD-114)资助。
摘    要:随着塔里木河流域水资源统一管理不断加强,塔里木河下游生态输水量增加,生态保护取得了阶段性成效.然而,水资源严格管理下的塔里木河下游水生态安全状况及变化过程如何,相关研究缺乏科学的评估.对此,本文利用塔里木河下游2000—2017年的水量、监测断面地下水埋深、胡杨新增生物量、植被覆盖度、干旱指数等指标数据,运用主成分分析...

关 键 词:塔里木河  下游生态安全评价  主成分分析法  驱动要素

Evaluation of ecological water security and analysis of driving factors in the lower Tarim River,China
LI Mengyi,DENG Mingjiang,LING Hongbo,WANG Guangyan,XU Shengwu. Evaluation of ecological water security and analysis of driving factors in the lower Tarim River,China[J]. Arid Zone Research, 2021, 38(1): 39-47
Authors:LI Mengyi  DENG Mingjiang  LING Hongbo  WANG Guangyan  XU Shengwu
Affiliation:(State Key Laboratory of Hydraulic Engineering Simulation and Safety,Tianjin University,Tianjin 300350,China;Tianjin University School of Civil Engineering,Tianjin 300350,China;Xinjiang Irtysh River Basin Development and Construction Management Bureau,Urumqi 830000,Xinjiang,China;Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Urumqi 830011,Xinjiang,China;Management Bureau of the Main Stream of Xinjiang Tarim River Basin,Korla 841000,Xinjiang,China)
Abstract:Due to the continuous strengthening of the unified water resource management programs in the Tarim River Basin,the ecological water transport in its lower reaches has increased,and periodic improvements in ecological protection have been achieved.However,there is a lack of scientific evaluation regarding the impact of strict water resource management program on the water ecological security status and changes.This study used principal component analysis and comprehensive coefficient method to evaluate the water ecological security status and reveal the changing characteristics of the driving factors affecting it.The analyses were based on the 2000 to 2017 index data of water quantity,groundwater depth of the monitored section,new Populus euphratica biomass,vegetation coverage,and drought indices in the lower reaches of the Tarim River.The results showed that from 2000 to 2017 the comprehensive water ecological security evaluation index increased from 39.1 to 84.7,and the ecological security level continuously improved,changing the area from a“moderate warning”to a“safe”area.Hydrological and vegetative influences are the two driving factors affecting downstream water ecological security;therefore,the volume of discharge,groundwater depth,and vegetation diversity significantly impact water ecological security.This study could provide an important scientific basis for optimizing the ecological water transport model in the lower reaches of the Tarim River.
Keywords:Tarim River  downstream ecological safety assessment  principal component analysis  driving factor
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