| 叶尔羌河年径流量动态变化趋势分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 甄宝龙,尚松浩,吐尔洪,刘旨霄. 叶尔羌河年径流量动态变化趋势分析[J]. 灌溉排水学报, 1999, 0(2) |
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| 作者姓名： | 甄宝龙 尚松浩 吐尔洪 刘旨霄 |
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| 作者单位： | 清华大学水利水电工程系!北京100084(甄宝龙，尚松浩)，叶尔羌河流域管理处!新疆莎车844000(吐尔洪，刘旨霄) |
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| 摘 要： | 建立了叶尔羌河卡群站年径流量（１９５４～１９９７ 年）的时间序列模型，该模型可用于年径流量预测。根据分析结果，卡群站年径流量具有不显著的递增趋势和明显的周期变化，同时具有一定的随机性
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| 关 键 词： | 时间序列分析 年径流量 内陆干旱区 |
Analysis of the dynamic trend of annual runoff of Yerqiang River |
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| Zhen Baolong Shang Songhao. Analysis of the dynamic trend of annual runoff of Yerqiang River[J]. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage, 1999, 0(2) |
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| Authors: | Zhen Baolong Shang Songhao |
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| Abstract: | A time series model of the annual runoff of Yerqiang River is established, which can be used in runoff prediction. It shows that the annual runoff has indistinctive increasing trend, obvious periodical change and stochastic change. |
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| Keywords: | time series analysis annual runoff inland arid area |
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