| Prediction of the Economic Development for the Circumjacent Reservoir Region of the Longtan Hydropower Project Using Grey Quantitative Analog |
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| 引用本文： | Duan Yurong Zhu Jinming Liu Size Hong Guiyu. Prediction of the Economic Development for the Circumjacent Reservoir Region of the Longtan Hydropower Project Using Grey Quantitative Analog[J]. 保鲜与加工, 1996, 0(5): 95-99 |
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| 作者姓名： | Duan Yurong Zhu Jinming Liu Size Hong Guiyu |
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| 作者单位： | Duan Yurong Zhu Jinming Liu Size Hong Guiyu |
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| 摘 要： | In order to overcome some technical difficulties,we adopt ingenously the grey models combined with the quantitative analog method,and select the Dan Jiangkou Project which has accumulated practical operation data for a long time as the analog project to predict the economic influence for the circumjacent reservoir region of the Longtan hydropower project.On the basis of analog we have built various industrial economic grey models,and compare them with the corresponding predictions for the unconstructed reservoir case.The predictions of the former are greatly larger than the later ones.and hence provides a certain scientific basis for the central leaders to make a decision for constructing the huge hydropower project ultimateiy.
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| 关 键 词： | differential equation grey systems hydropower project region of reservoir economy prediction quantitative analog method |
Prediction of the Economic Development for the Circumjacent Reservoir Region of the Longtan Hydropower Project Using Grey Quantitative Analog |
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| Duan Yurong Zhu Jinming Liu Size Hong Guiyu. Prediction of the Economic Development for the Circumjacent Reservoir Region of the Longtan Hydropower Project Using Grey Quantitative Analog[J]. Storage & Process, 1996, 0(5): 95-99 |
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| Authors: | Duan Yurong Zhu Jinming Liu Size Hong Guiyu |
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| Affiliation: | Duan Yurong Zhu Jinming Liu Size Hong Guiyu |
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| Abstract: | In order to overcome some technical difficulties,we adopt ingenously the grey models combined with the quantitative analog method,and select the Dan Jiangkou Project which has accumulated practical operation data for a long time as the analog project to predict the economic influence for the circumjacent reservoir region of the Longtan hydropower project.On the basis of analog we have built various industrial economic grey models,and compare them with the corresponding predictions for the unconstructed reservoir case.The predictions of the former are greatly larger than the later ones.and hence provides a certain scientific basis for the central leaders to make a decision for constructing the huge hydropower project ultimateiy. |
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| Keywords: | differential equation grey systems hydropower project region of reservoir economy prediction quantitative analog method |
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