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近50 a中国西北地区东部降水特征
引用本文:王晖,隆霄,马旭林,刘燕飞. 近50 a中国西北地区东部降水特征[J]. 干旱区研究, 2013, 30(4): 712-718
作者姓名:王晖  隆霄  马旭林  刘燕飞
作者单位:(1.兰州大学大气科学学院,甘肃 兰州 730000; 2.南京信息工程大学大气科学学院,江苏 南京 210044)
基金项目:气象行业专项,兰州大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目
摘    要:利用我国西北地区东部54个气象站1960-2009年的降水资料,采用M-K检验和小波分析方法,对该地区的降水特征进行了分析。结果表明:① 西北地区东部降水量呈微弱下降趋势,1990年后降水减少趋势更为明显,Ⅱ区降水变化趋势较Ⅰ区更加显著;② 该地区降水频次以弱降水和中等强度降水为主,占降水总天数的70%以上,弱降水频次减少趋势显著;③ 中等强度降水和强降水的降水量占全年降水的75%以上,中等降水的降水量呈减少趋势,是造成年降水量减少的主要原因;④ 小波分析结果显示,年降水、中等降水和强降水序列均存在显著的3 a和5 a短周期,其中Ⅰ区和Ⅱ区的中等降水和强降水小波周期在20世纪70年代之后完全不同,中等降水的减少与70年代周期的变长密切相关。

关 键 词:降水频率  降水强度  Mann-Kendall  小波分析  西北地区东部  
收稿时间:2012-05-17

Precipitation in the Eastern Part of Northwest China in Recent 50 Years
WANG Hui,LONG Xiao,MA Xu-lin,LIU Yan-fei. Precipitation in the Eastern Part of Northwest China in Recent 50 Years[J]. Arid Zone Research, 2013, 30(4): 712-718
Authors:WANG Hui  LONG Xiao  MA Xu-lin  LIU Yan-fei
Affiliation:(1. College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, China; 2. College of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, China)
Abstract:Based on the precipitation data observed by 54 meteorological stations in the eastern part of northwest China during the period of 1960-2009, the variation of precipitation in this region was analyzed using the Mann-Kendall test and wavelet analysis. The main results were as follows: (1) Precipitation in the study area was in a slight decrease trend, the precipitation reduction was more obvious after 1990, and the variation of precipitation in area Ⅱwas more significant than that in area I; (2) The precipitation frequency in the study area was dominated by weak and moderate precipitation events, which accounted about 70% of the total precipitation days, and the decrease of weak precipitation frequency was obvious; (3) The proportion of moderate and heavy precipitation accounted for more than 75% of annual precipitation. Decrease of annual precipitation was mainly caused by the decrease of moderate precipitation; (4) The results of wavelet analysis revealed that there were the 3 year and 5 year fluctuation periodicities of annual, moderate and heavy precipitation, the periodicities of moderate and heavy precipitation in area I were completely different from those in area Ⅱafter the 1970s, and the decrease of moderate precipitation was closely related to the variation of moderate precipitation in the 1970s.
Keywords:precipitation frequency  precipitation intensity  Mann-Kendall test  wavelet analysis  eastern part of northwest China
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