| 基于系统动力学模型的渔业资源增殖放流效应分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘莉莉,万荣,王熙杰,王四杰,王云中.基于系统动力学模型的渔业资源增殖放流效应分析[J].南方水产,2012,8(1):16-23. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘莉莉 万荣 王熙杰 王四杰 王云中 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国海洋大学水产学院,山东青岛,266003
2. 山东省海洋捕捞生产管理站,山东烟台,264001 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章从系统动力学角度出发,着眼于动态系统的整体统筹,综合考虑渔业、生态和社会三方面要素,对山东省中国对虾（Penaeus chinensis）增殖放流渔业进行了系统动力学建模仿真,并通过对预测结果的比较分析,探讨了合理的放流量、捕捞努力量等决策变量,以期为渔业决策者提供有益的参考。文中提出的方法亦可用于对渔业资源生物量、产量、社会效益、生态效应的评估和预报。
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| 关 键 词： | 渔业资源 增殖放流 系统动力学 模拟 |
Analysis of effects of fishery stock enhancement based on system dynamics model |
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| LIU Lili
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WAN Rong
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WANG Xijie
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WANG Sijie
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WANG Yunzhong.Analysis of effects of fishery stock enhancement based on system dynamics model[J].South China Fisheries Science,2012,8(1):16-23. |
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| Authors: | LIU Lili WAN Rong WANG Xijie WANG Sijie WANG Yunzhong |
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| Institution: | 1.College of Fisheries,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266003,China; 2.Shandong Marine Fishing and Production Management Station,Yantai 264001,China) |
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| Abstract: | From the perspective of system dynamics,considering aspects of fishery,ecology and society,we construct a simulative model of fishery enhancement and release of Penaeus chinensis in Shandong,and analyze the decision variables such as rational releasing number and fishing effort,so as to provide useful advices for further policy-making in programs of marine fishery stock enhancement.The method we introduce can also evaluate and forecast fishery abundance,yield,social benefits and ecological effects. |
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| Keywords: | fishery resources stock enhancement system dynamics simulation |
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