| 河北省耕地变化与粮食产量灰色关联分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 郭海洋,梁山,胡建.河北省耕地变化与粮食产量灰色关联分析[J].安徽农业科学,2006,34(21):5740-5741,5744. |
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| 作者姓名： | 郭海洋 梁山 胡建 |
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| 作者单位： | 河北农业大学商学院,河北保定,071001 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用一元回归预测方法与灰色关联分析方法分别对1949~2004年河北省耕地、人口和粮食的相关资料进行定量分析,预测河北省人口的变化趋势,同时对影响粮食总产量的各个因素排序。结果显示:粮食单位面积产量、有效灌溉面积、农业机械化程度对粮食总产量的影响较大。针对分析的结果及存在的问题提出相应的对策。
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| 关 键 词： | 耕地 粮食 灰色关联分析 回归分析 |
| 文章编号： | 0517-6611（2036）21-5740-02 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-08-10 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-08-10 |
Analysis of the Relationship between the Change of Cultivated Land and Grain Yield in Hebei Province |
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| GUO Hai-yang, et al.Analysis of the Relationship between the Change of Cultivated Land and Grain Yield in Hebei Province[J].Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences,2006,34(21):5740-5741,5744. |
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| Authors: | GUO Hai-yang |
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| Institution: | Trade College of Hebei Agricultural University, Baoding, Hebei 071001 |
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| Abstract: | The area of cultivated land,population and grain yield in Hebei Province during the past 55 years were discussed in this paper based on statistical and survey data.It was found that the yield,irrigated area and mechanization in agriculture were the most important factors affecting the production.Based on the situation,some countermeasures were given in the article for food security and the sustainable development of cultivated land. |
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| Keywords: | Cultivated land Grain Gray relation analysis Regression analysis |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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