我国玉米贸易格局变化与粮食安全的关系探讨

从2010年起,我国由玉米净出口国转变为玉米净进口国,引发国内对玉米进口及外资进入的担忧。本文从玉米进口和外资进入两个角度展开分析,认为我国政府对玉米市场较强的控制能力、国内持续增长的供给潜力、巨大的国际市场供给能力和较小的粮食禁运风险,使玉米进口不会对我国粮食安全构成威胁。外资企业在国内玉米加工业中影响有限,内资企业地位难以撼动。玉米市场的开放对我国玉米行业的发展和粮食安全的保障均具有积极作用。

Discussion on Relationship Between Corn Imports and Food Security in China

China being a net import county of corn since 2010 has raised great concerns about corn imports andintroduction of foreign capital. In this paper, we conducted analysis on the impact of variations of patterns in cornimports to the food security in China from the aforementioned perspectives. Study showed that: (1) our government hasstrong control over the corn market, and the continuous increasing capacity for corn provision in China, huge provisioncapacity from international market, and relative small risk on grain embargo will not impact Chinese food security, (2)the impact of foreign owned enterprise to Chinese corn industry is not significant and it is very difficult to shake thedominance of domestic entrepreneur; (3) opening the corn imports market would take a positive role in the developmentof China's corn industry and food security