Shift-Share Analysis and the Potential for Predicting Regional Growth Patterns: Some Evidence for the Region of Quebec,Canada |
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| Authors: | A ANDRIKOPOULOS J BROX E CARVALHO |
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| Institution: | A. Andrikopoulos, J. Brox, and E. Carvalho are associate professor, associate professor and assistant professor respectively, in economics at the University of Waterloo, Ontario |
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| Abstract: | The purpose of this paper is to explain changes in regional attractiveness as measured by the competitive component of the shift-share model. This is done by applying the shift-share model to the manufacturing sector in the province of Quebec and using time series data for twenty two-digit industries as the basis of analysis. The study concludes that shift-share is useful for analyzing historical employment patterns and identifying their causes through regression analysis. However, the inherent structural instability limits the predictive potential of the model. |
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