农业水价改革情景中农户的节水意愿——基于河北省地下水超采区的实地调研

农业水价改革是黄淮海平原地下水压采的重要措施之一。基于河北省地下水超采综合治理区的实地调研,运用交叉分析法和二元Logistic模型分析了农业水价改革情景中农户节水意愿的影响因素。调查结果显示75.32%的农户在农业水价改革情景中没有节水意愿。研究结果表明年龄越大、家中有耕地参加休养生息政策的农户,在农业水价改革情景中的节水意愿越强;农户认为冬小麦春灌节水会导致小麦减产的程度越高,节水意愿越弱。因此得出推广农作物抗旱育种技术以及促进田间灌溉技术升级、加强农业节水宣传和培训、设计并实施系统和综合的农业水价改革三点政策含义。

Farmers' Willingness to Save Water on the Assumption that Agricultural Water Pricing Reform is Applied

Agricultural water pricing reform is one of the essential policies to suppress the pumping of groundwater in Huang Huai Hai Plain.This paper is based on the field research in regions of comprehensive controlling of over-draft in Hebei Province, and uses the method of cross-analysis and binary logistic model to analyze the influencing factors for farmers' willingness to save water on the assumption that agricultural water pricing reform is applied.The survey result shows that 75.32％ of the farmers do not have the willingness to save water on the assumption.The research results show that the farmers who are older or whose farmlands have participated in the Recuperate policy have stronger willingness to save water on the assumption;the farmers who hold the idea that saving water in spring's irrigation will cause yield decrease of wheat have less willingness to save water on the assumption.Thus, this paper draws the following three policy implications: promoting breeding techniques for drought tolerance in crops and field irrigation technology;strengthening propaganda and training of saving water;designing and implementing the systematic and comprehensive agricultural water pricing reform.