| 河南人均国内生产总值预测分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 姚天祥,李冠峰,杨军,万军,李钧. 河南人均国内生产总值预测分析[J]. 河南农业大学学报, 2001, 35(2): 175-178 |
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| 作者姓名： | 姚天祥 李冠峰 杨军 万军 李钧 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 河南农业大学机电工程学院,
2. 交通银行郑州分行文化路支行, |
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| 摘 要： | 运用GM（1，1）模型和经济周期理论，定量分析和定性分析相结合，对2001-2009年河南人均国内生产总值进行了预测分析，结果表明，在对区域经济的发展趋势进行预测时，在经济周期的不同发展阶段中样本数目的选择可能会对预测结果产生显著的影响，对样本数据进行适当处理，能使预测结果和现实相符。
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| 关 键 词： | GM（1 1）模型 预测 灰色系统 经济周期 河南 GDP 人均生产总值 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-2340(2001)02-0175-04 |
Forecast and analysis of per capita gross domestic product in He nan |
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| YAO Tian xiang,LI Guan feng,YANG Jun,et al. Forecast and analysis of per capita gross domestic product in He nan[J]. Journal of Henan Agricultural University, 2001, 35(2): 175-178 |
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| Authors: | YAO Tian xiang LI Guan feng YANG Jun et al |
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| Abstract: | By means of the theories of GM(1,1) model and economic cycle,with quantitative and qualitative analysis adopted,forecasts and analyses are given of the per capita gross domestic product in Henan between 2000-2009.The results indicate that in forecasting the development tndency of the regional economy in different stages of the economic cycle,the numbers of the samples selected could have obvious effects on the results.So poper processing of the data of the samples can make the results correspond with the reality. |
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| Keywords: | GM(1 1) model forecast gray system economic cycle |
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