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鲁棒回归在水工建筑物安全监控模型建立中的应用
引用本文:赵兰敏,郄志红,吴鑫淼,李英,梁国伟.鲁棒回归在水工建筑物安全监控模型建立中的应用[J].中国农村水利水电,2007(3):97-99,102.
作者姓名:赵兰敏  郄志红  吴鑫淼  李英  梁国伟
作者单位:1. 河北农业大学水利水电工程系,河北,保定,071001
2. 河北农业大学水利水电工程系,河北,保定,071001;天津大学水利水电工程系,天津,300072
3. 河北省保定市水利水电勘测设计院,河北,保定,071000
摘    要:建立水工建筑物安全监控模型是预测和控制大坝的运行、避免重大事故发生的不可或缺的重要手段,而大坝安全监测数据中经常出现的异常值对监测模型的稳定性和精度产生较大影响,针对这个异常值问题,采用鲁棒回归方法,有效地剔除或削弱了监测数据中的异常值的影响,实例分析表明:在监测数据中含有异常数据的情况下,基于鲁棒回归的大坝安全监测模型的稳定性和预测效果能够得到保证。

关 键 词:水工建筑物  安全监测模型  鲁棒回归  异常值
文章编号:1007-2284(2007)03-0097-03
修稿时间:2006-03-24

Application of robust regression in the hydraulic structure safety monitoring modeling
ZHAO Lan-min,QIE Zhi-hong,WU Xin-miao,LI Ying,LIANG Guo-wei.Application of robust regression in the hydraulic structure safety monitoring modeling[J].China Rural Water and Hydropower,2007(3):97-99,102.
Authors:ZHAO Lan-min  QIE Zhi-hong  WU Xin-miao  LI Ying  LIANG Guo-wei
Institution:1. Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering Department of Hebei Agriculture University, Baoding 071001; 2. Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering Department of Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072; 3. Baoding Water Conservancy and Hydropower Reconnaissance and Design Institute, Baoding 071000
Abstract:Hydraulic structure safety monitoring modeling is an important means to predict and control dam operation and prevent major accident.But the abnormal values in the monitoring often influence the stability and precision of monitoring model.The robust regression is introduced to eliminate or weaken the influence of abnormal value.The analysis results of a case study show that the stability and prediction effect of dam safety monitoring model can be ensured by using robust regression under the condition of abnormal values.
Keywords:hydraulic structure  safety monitoring model  robust regression  abnormal value
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