An econometric irrigated crop allocation model for analyzing the impact of water restriction policies |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Applied Mathematics in Agricultural Engineering, Universidad, Politécnica de Madrid, Spain;2. Department of Economic and Agricultural Social Sciences, Universidad, Politécnica de Madrid, Spain;1. Bangladesh Agricultural University, Mymensingh, Bangladesh;2. International Rice Research Institute, Los Baños, Philippines;3. Queensland Alliance for Agriculture and Food Innovation (QAAFI), The University of Queensland, Toowoomba, QLD, Australia;1. Business School, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, PR China;2. Department of Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence, University of Granada, 18071, Spain;3. Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah 21589, Saudi Arabia;1. Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Management and Production of Renewable Resources, Latokartanonkaari 9, FI-00790 Helsinki, Finland;2. Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Management and Production of Renewable Resources, FI-31600 Jokioinen, Finland;1. Water Science and Engineering Department, IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, Delft, The Netherlands;2. Wageningen Institute for Environment and Climate Research, Wageningen University & Research, The Netherlands;3. Division of Inland Water Systems, Deltares, Delft, The Netherlands;4. Grupo de Investigación en Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos (GIREH), Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia;1. Centre for Rural Development and Technology, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Hauz Khas, New Delhi 110016, India;2. Amity Food & Agriculture Foundation, Amity University, Noida, Uttar Pradesh 201313, India |
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| Abstract: | The objective of the Spanish government-funded GESMO project is to research on new water policy evaluation and monitoring tools, applied to aquifer 8/23 in the Eastern Mancha, which covers one of the most important areas under the charge of the Júcar Catchment Confederation. The project is to output two types of end products: Decision Support Systems for defining water use policies, including economic impact and environmental simulators within a single multi-criteria decision-making environment and Measure Monitoring and Control Systems employing tele-detection and simulation of crop water needs. The Decision Support Systems will include three, highly complex, theoretical models in a single information technology product: a three-dimensional aquifer 8/23 behavior simulation model, an econometric model to predict crop allocation depending on the economic environment, water availabilities, etc., and an automatic alternative generation and evaluation system based on a multi-criteria methodology. The objective of the system is to advise on possible water policies and how they would materialize into spatially and temporally distributed water quotas (m3/ha) with the objective of both safeguarding the aquifer in the medium and long term and increasing the economic profitability of regional agriculture. In this paper, a regional econometric model is presented for studying the impact of water use quotas on the main irrigated crops allocation in the region. |
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