家庭生命周期对农户规模经营意愿的影响分析——基于长江中游三省稻农的调查与分析

借鉴家庭生命周期理论,利用长江中游地区3省711个样本农户家庭的数据,揭示家庭生命周期对农户规模经营意愿的影响机制。研究发现:1)相比于空巢期家庭,处于其他生命周期阶段的农户家庭愿意进行规模经营的可能性更高;2)户主个人特征年龄、文化程度、健康状况,农户家庭特征户主是否外出就业、人均耕地面积,外在环境特征山地丘陵地形、农地块均面积、种粮政策支持感知、农村道路交通设施满意度是影响农户规模经营意愿的关键因素;3)不同家庭生命周期阶段农户规模经营意愿影响因素存在显著差异。有鉴于此,本研究认为对于空巢期阶段家庭,政府应该给予养老政策支持,鼓励其转出土地。处于抚养期和稳定期阶段农户家庭具备较强的人力资源禀赋与意愿成为适度规模经营主体,政府应加大对这些农户农业生产经营能力培训与政策支持力度。进一步改善农业生产外在环境条件,提高农户生产积极性与规模经营意愿。

Influence analysis of family life cycle on farmers' scale operation: Empirical analysis based on rice farmer in the middle area of Yangzte River

Based on family life cycle theory,this study uses the data of 711 sample households in 3 provinces of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River to reveal the influence mechanism of the family life cycle on the scale operation intention of farmers.The results show that:1) Compared to the empty nest family with elders at home,the other life cycle stage of farm households has a greater willingness to scale operation.2) Householder personal characteristics age,cultural level,health status,the characteristics of farm households outside employment,arable land per capita,the external environment characteristics of mountain hilly terrain,the average area of agricultural land,the grain policy support perception,satisfaction of rural road traffic facilities are the key factors that influence the will of peasant household scale operation.3) There are significant differences in the influence factors of farmers'' scale operation intention on different family life cycle stages.In conclusion,it is believed that the government should provide pension policy support to families in the empty nest stage and encourage them to transfer out of the land.In the stage of raising period and stable period of farm households have strong human resources endowment and the willingness to become the subject of moderate scale management,the government should enhance farmers'' agricultural production and operation capacity trainings and policy support,improve agricultural production conditions in the external environment,and increase farmers'' enthusiasm for production and their willingness to operate on a large scale.