中心渔场智能预报系统的设计与实现

应用人工智能技术设计中心渔场智能预报系统，包括系统的总体结构，范例库的建设，范例推理、规则库和规则修正，最后按设计路线给出试验性预报实例，预报结果与渔场实际情况比较，预报的准确性为７６．２％。研究结果表明，采用范例推理为主，规则修正为辅的技术路线使用计算机实现中心渔场智化预报是可行的。它可以为海洋渔业生产和管理部门提供快速、准确、实用的信息预报。

Design and realization of intelligent predicting system of central fishing ground

Using artificial intelligent technology a design was made for intelligently predicting central fishing grounds, including overall structure of the system, establishment of casebase, case-based reasoning, rule base and rule revision. It also gives a forecast example on the designing approach, and the forecast accuracy was 76.2% comparing with the real central fishing ground.The study results show that it is feasible to realize the intelligent prediction of central fishing grounds with computers taking the approach of case-based reasoning as dominant and of rule revision as subsidiary. Finally, it is possible to offer fast, accurate and useful forecast information for marine fisheries production and fishery managing departments.