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阿鲁科尔沁旗地区近50年气温突变分析
引用本文:葛海燕,晋亮亮,常欣,张彦辉.阿鲁科尔沁旗地区近50年气温突变分析[J].内蒙古农业科技,2014(5):66-67.
作者姓名:葛海燕  晋亮亮  常欣  张彦辉
作者单位:赤峰市气象局,内蒙古 赤峰,024000
摘    要:利用阿鲁科尔沁旗气象站1960-2009年年平均气温数据,分析出近50年来阿鲁科尔沁旗的年平均气温增温趋势明显,达到了0.39℃/10a。采用滑动t检验、山本法和曼-肯德尔法3种突变检验方法对阿鲁科尔沁旗年平均气温进行检验分析,揭示了在50年时间尺度上,阿鲁科尔沁旗的气温存在明显的增暖突变,突变点在1987年。

关 键 词:气温  突变  分析

Analysis of Temperature Abrupt Change of Arhorqin Banner in Recent 50 Years
GE Hai yan,Jin Liang liang,Chang Xin,Zhang Yan hui.Analysis of Temperature Abrupt Change of Arhorqin Banner in Recent 50 Years[J].Inner Mongolia Agricultural Science and Technology,2014(5):66-67.
Authors:GE Hai yan  Jin Liang liang  Chang Xin  Zhang Yan hui
Institution:(Chifeng Meteorological Burea,Chifcng 024000,China)
Abstract:Based on the annual mean temperature data of Arhorqin Banner Meteorology Burea from 1960 to 2009,the trend of temperature change was analyzed in recent 50 years.The test analysis were conducted on annual mean temperature of whole area with the three methods of Moving test technique,Yamamoto methods and Mann-Kendall methods.It showed that:on the timescale of 50 years, there was an obvious truth of warming and abrupt change on the temperature of Arhorqin Banner,abrupt change point was 1987.
Keywords:Temperature  Abrupt change  Analysis
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