新疆城市化进程及驱动力研究

城市化进程在不同发展阶段和经济分工地域,表现为不同的驱动机制。根据城市发展的一般规律和中国快速城市化的特殊表征,从人口、经济、社会、土地四个方面设计城市化进程综合评价指标体系,通过构建模型、权重分析及水平测度,得出:新疆城市化处于快速城市化的初级阶段,但综合水平及增长趋势明显滞后;经济增长和土地扩张是城市化主要驱动因子,人口和社会城市化动力不足;城市化进程在满足资源型经济增长的同时,未能充分发挥提高区域发展质量的带动效益;受产业结构、水资源及生态环境限制,城市用地扩张增量有限,劳动力转移和非农化转变缓慢,财政支持、重点建设与社会事业协调并进驱进缓慢。

The urbanization process and driving forces in Xinjiang

In different development stage and eco-division,urbanization process shows the different power mechanism.Based on the general urbanization rules and special features of rapid urbanization in China,we designed the synthetic evaluation indicator system of urbanized process population on fours aspects of economy,society and land.By building model,analyzing weights and estimating level we found Xinjiang was in the primary stage of rapid urbanization,but general proficiency and growth trend was obviously lag;Eco-growth and land expand were the major driving factors,population-urbanizing and social urbanizing were short of power;Urbanization process supported the resource-based economy development,but it didn’t give full play to enhance regional development quality;Restricted by industrial structure,water resource and eco-environment,the increment of urban land use was limited,labor-transfer and adverse farming were slow,financial support and main construction advancing together with social career development were relative lag.