新疆南北疆区域经济发展差异预警研究

以1993年和2009年两个时间断面上的统计数据为依据,采用统计学方法对2000年以来新疆南北疆区域经济差异状况进行比较分析。结果发现:新疆南北疆区域经济发展存在明显差异,北疆经济发展水平明显优于南疆;在此基础上对南北疆经济差异程度进行了预警研究,研究发现南北疆经济绝对差异已经超出警戒线,而相对差异也已接近警戒线水平。最后,对此提出了相应的政策建议。

The warning of economic differences between southern and northern Xinjiang

The regional economic difference is an inevitable phenomenon in the economic development process.The current situation and development strategy choice of an area are decided by the basic understanding of this situation.Using the factor analysis method,the variation coefficient and gini coefficient method,we studied economic status of southern and northern Xinjiang from the static and dynamic perspectives since 2000 and found that the economic differences between south and north are obvious and economic development level of north Xinjiang is obviously better than that of sorth Xinjiang.The study also diagnosed the degree of economic difference between southern and northern Xinjiang using econometric model and found that absolute difference is beyond a tipping point,and relative disparity is close to alarming levels too.The countermeasures to promote regional coordinate development in Xinjiang were presented.