| 2015—2035年中国水产品需求展望 |
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| 引用本文： | 蔡鑫,陈洁,陈永福.2015—2035年中国水产品需求展望[J].农业展望,2014(1):70-74. |
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| 作者姓名： | 蔡鑫 陈洁 陈永福 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京100083 [2]农业部农村经济研究中心,北京100810 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家大宗淡水鱼类产业技术体系产业经济研究专项（CARS-46-25） |
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| 摘 要： | 在分析当前中国水产品消费需求现状的基础上,通过建立需求模型对未来中国水产品需求量进行模拟。结果显示,2035年中国水产品需求量将达到10 588.47万t,约为2011年的1.8倍,其中鲜活水产品和加工水产品食用需求均有较大的增幅,将分别达到4 429.24万t和3 785.99万t。
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| 关 键 词： | 水产品 需求分析 展望 |
Forecast of China＇s Aquatic Products Demand in 2015 2035 |
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| Cai Xin,Chen Jie,Chen Yongfu.Forecast of China＇s Aquatic Products Demand in 2015 2035[J].Agricultural Outlook,2014(1):70-74. |
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| Authors: | Cai Xin Chen Jie Chen Yongfu |
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| Institution: | ( tCollege of Economics ＆ Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083; 2Research Center of Rural Economy, Ministry of Agriculture, Beijing 100810) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the analysis of current consumption demand of aquatic products, the authors made use of demand model to simulate future demand of aquatic products in China. Results suggested that in 2035, China＇s demand quantity for aquatic products would reach 105.88 million tons, about 1.8 times of that in 201 l, of which fresh and processed aquatic products food-use demand would both experience a big increase, reaching 44.29 million tons and 37.86 million tons respectively. |
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| Keywords: | aquatic products demand analysis prospect |
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