| 驻马店小麦条锈病发生气象指数预报方法探讨 |
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| 引用本文： | 武建华,陈松,陈彦旭,王立翔,孙凤平.驻马店小麦条锈病发生气象指数预报方法探讨[J].河北农业科学,2008,12(12):20-21. |
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| 作者姓名： | 武建华 陈松 陈彦旭 王立翔 孙凤平 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 河南省驻马店市气象局,河南驻马店,463000
2. 河南省遂平县气象局,河南遂平,463100 |
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| 基金项目： | 河南省科技厅社会发展科研项目
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| 摘 要： | 小麦条锈病是河南省驻马店市小麦生产中的主要病害之一,历史上曾多次造成小麦严重减产。在分析小麦条锈病发病及流行特征的基础上,应用统计方法建立了条锈病病发气象指数预报气候模型和指数预测方程,并连续2a准确作出病发气象指数预报,为植保部门正确作出病害流行趋势预测预报提供了科学依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 小麦 小麦条锈病 病发气象指数 预报方法 |
Discussion on the Forecasting Methods of Meteorological Indexes for Wheat Stripe Rust in Zhumadian |
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| WU Jian-hua,CHEN Song,CHEN Yan-xu,WANG Li-xiang,SUN Feng-ping.Discussion on the Forecasting Methods of Meteorological Indexes for Wheat Stripe Rust in Zhumadian[J].Journal of Hebei Agricultural Sciences,2008,12(12):20-21. |
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| Authors: | WU Jian-hua CHEN Song CHEN Yan-xu WANG Li-xiang SUN Feng-ping |
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| Institution: | WU Jian-hua , CHEN Song, CHEN Yan-xu, WANG Li-xiang , SUN Feng-ping (1. Zhumadian Meteorological Bureau, Zhumadian 463000, China; 2. Suiping Meteorological Bureau, Suiping 463100, China) |
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| Abstract: | Wheat stripe rust was one of the major diseases of wheat production in Zhumadian,He'nan Province,which had caused wheat yield declined severely many times in Chinese history.On the basis of analyzing the characters of occurrence and epidemiology,the forecast model of meteorological indexes and forecast equation were built by statistical method.The meteorological indexes had been forecasted accurately for two years,which provided the scientific basis for the department of plant protection to forecast the diseases epidemic trend. |
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| Keywords: | Wheat Wheat stripe rust Occurrence meteorological index Forecasting method |
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