| 近期水产品市场形势及未来5年走势研判 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘景景. 近期水产品市场形势及未来5年走势研判[J]. 农业展望, 2014, 0(10): 15-18 |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘景景 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院 北京 100872; 农业部农村经济研究中心 北京 100810 |
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| 摘 要： | 预计未来5年中国水产品供求关系比较稳定,总产量基本能够满足国内需求,但年增长率将有所下降。其中,捕捞产量增长基本停滞,养殖产量增长尚有较大潜力。水产品作为动物蛋白来源将变得日益昂贵,人均水产品消费量预计将扩大,但消费年均增长率将下降,水产品价格平稳上升。中国将保持世界水产品出口领导地位,进口增速预计超过出口。
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| 关 键 词： | 水产品市场 渔业生产 贸易壁垒 展望 |
Recent Aquatic Products Market and Its Outlook for the Next Five Years |
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| Liu Jingjing. Recent Aquatic Products Market and Its Outlook for the Next Five Years[J]. Agricultural Outlook, 2014, 0(10): 15-18 |
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| Authors: | Liu Jingjing |
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| Affiliation: | Liu Jingjing (1 School of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872; 2 Research Center for Rural Economy, MOA, Beijing 100810) |
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| Abstract: | The author predicted the relationship between supply and demand of China＆#39;s aquatic products was relatively stable in the next five years, and the total output could basically meet domestic demand, but the annual growth rate would decline. In the future, fishing production growth remains stagnant, while aquaculture production still has the potential to grow. As a source of animal protein, aquatic products will become increasingly expensive, and per capita consumption will expand with declining annual consumption growth rate. Aquatic products prices will steadily improve. China will remain its leadership in world aquatic products export market, and import growth is expected to exceed export. |
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| Keywords: | aquatic products market fishery production trade barrier outlook |
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