2014年棉花市场形势分析与展望

在政策调控下,2014年国内棉花供给充裕,市场需求整体疲软。棉花进口量大幅回落,纺织品服装出口增速明显回落。受需求不足以及棉花目标价格试点政策实施影响,国内外棉价大幅下降,内外价差明显缩小。后期国内外市场仍将维持弱势震荡格局。受棉价持续走低影响,全球棉花产量预计下降1.6%,中国棉花收获面积下降7.5%。

Cotton Market in 2014 and Its Prospect

Influenced by market regulatory policies, cotton supply remained adequate and demand fell in 2014. Cotton imports dropped sharply, and the export growth of textile clothing slowed down significantly. Affected by the implement of cotton target price policy insufficient demand, both of domestic and international cotton prices declined with narrowing price margin at home and abroad. It is expected that the domestic and international prices of cotton will maintain a weak shock. Under the influence of decreasing cotton price, global cotton production will decline 1.6%, and domestic cotton harvest area will fall 7.5%.