近10年中国牛羊肉市场特点及后市展望

近10年来,随着居民健康意识和消费能力的转变,中国牛羊肉消费呈稳步增长态势。但由于牛羊养殖比较效益差,国内牛羊养殖萎缩,牛羊肉供给增长缓慢。中国牛羊肉缺口每年大约为220万t,供需矛盾日益突出,导致价格持续攀升。总结了近10年来国内牛羊肉市场的运行特点,分析了价格上涨的原因,并对牛羊肉市场供给、需求和价格的未来走向进行了预测。

Domestic Beef and Mutton Markets in the Past Decade and Their Prospects

Along with consumers＇ heath conscience and consumption ability changing, the consumptions of beef and mutton have kept stable increase in China in the past decade. Meanwhile, China＇s cattle and sheep breeding industry has declined because of low breeding comparative benefit, which made beef and mutton supply grow slowly. The supply-demand gap of beef and mutton in China is about 2.2 million tons every year, which leads to the price6 rising rapidly. This paper summarized the characteristics of domestic beef and mutton markets in the recent decade, analyzed the reasons for rising prices, and further more forecasted the future tendency of their supply, demand and prices.