我国乡村旅游发展的成长上限基模分析及对策思考

基于系统动力学基模分析方法,参照彼得·圣吉概括的八大基模之一的成长上限基模,结合乡村旅游发展中的各种影响因素,构建了乡村旅游成长上限基模,包括科学规划差额成长上限基模、基础设施投入差额成长上限基模、高素质从业人员差额成长上限基模。通过对成长上限子基模作并运算,得到外国乡村旅游发展的成长上限基模,并在此基础上进行深入研究,进而就乡村旅游发展消除成长上限的管理对策进行分析。强调应由政府主导,加强统一规划、科学管理,以及政策支撑力;加强基础设施建设投入,提高政府的资金支持力;多渠道引进人才,加强对现有从业人员的培训。

Archetype Analysis of Limits-to-growth of the Rural Tourism Development and Countermeasure

Based on archetype analysis of system dynamics,the limits-to-growth archetype of Peter Senge(one of his eight archetypes) was borrowed,and various influence factors of rural tourism development combined to construct the limits-to-growth archetype which consists of limits-to-growth archetype of scientific planning balance,limits-to-growth archetype of infrastructure input balance,limits-to-growth archetype of high-quality staff balance.Through the join of limits-to-growth sub-archetypes,limits-to-growth archetype of rural tourism development in overseas countries was obtained,on the basis of which further researches were carried out to analyze management countermeasures to eliminate limits to growth via rural tourism development.It was stressed that government should play the guiding role,unified planning,scientific management and policy support further enhanced;more efforts should be devoted to the infrastructure construction,and more financial support given by the government;more professional talents should be introduced in multiple ways,and training for present rural tourism staff enhanced.