| 聊城市水资源承载力变化研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张允锋,史正涛. 聊城市水资源承载力变化研究[J]. 节水灌溉, 2009, 0(8) |
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| 作者姓名： | 张允锋 史正涛 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 山东省东阿县财政局,山东,聊城,252201
2. 云南师范大学旅游与地理科学学院,云南,昆明,650092 |
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| 摘 要： | 选取人均水资源量、水资源利用率、人均供水量、供水模数、生活用水定额、耕地灌溉率、万元工业产值需水量、需水模数、生态环境用水率等9个评价因子,采用模糊综合评判的方法,对聊城市1996-2005年来水资源承载力进行了研究,分析了聊城市水资源承载力的变化情况.同时,预测了该地区2010、2015和2020年的需水量、供水量,分析了不同情景下水资源的供需平衡和水资源承载力情况.从而得出:1996-2005年来聊城市水资源承载力的综合评分值较小,虽然由1996年的0.417 2增加为2005年的0.442 2,但均低于平均值0.5.其变化主要和降水量以及GDP的变化有关.对该市水资源承载力贡献最大的是客水资源,其次是本地水资源.
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| 关 键 词： | 水资源承载力 模糊综合评判 山东省聊城市 |
Research on Change of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Liaocheng City |
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| ZHANG Yun-feng , SHI Zheng-tao. Research on Change of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Liaocheng City[J]. Water Saving Irrigation, 2009, 0(8) |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Yun-feng SHI Zheng-tao |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Finance Bureau of Dong'e County of Shandong Province;Liaocheng 252201;Shangdong Province;China;2.Tourism and Geography College of Yunnan Normal University;Kunming 650092;China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the principle of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method,through selecting nine assessment factors,such as the average water resources per person,water use efficiency,average water supply quantity per person,water supply module,life-use water ration,farmland irrigation rate,industrial water requirement per 10 000 Yuan industrial product,water requirement modulus and water using rate of eco-environment,and so on,the water resources carrying capacity of Liaocheng city from the year of 1996 to 2005 and ... |
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| Keywords: | water carrying capacity fuzzy comprehensive evaluation Liaocheng city in Shangdong province |
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