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基于不确定性灰色预测的陕西农业用水研究
引用本文:惠小健,殷春武.基于不确定性灰色预测的陕西农业用水研究[J].安徽农业科学,2011,39(6):3161-3162.
作者姓名:惠小健  殷春武
作者单位:西京学院基础部,陕西西安,710123;西京学院基础部,陕西西安,710123
摘    要:根据农业用水量为在某一区间内变化的实际情况,引入连续区间有序加权算子对区间数进行集结,并基于灰色预测建模思想给出一种处理不确定信息的陕西农业用水量预测模型。最后实例验证了该方法在陕西农业用水量预测中的可行性和实用性。

关 键 词:区间数  农业用水  预测  GM(1  1)

Study on Agricultural Water in Shaanxi Province Based on Uncertainty Gray Prediction
Institution:XI Xiao-jian et al(Xijing University,Xi’an,Shaanxi 710123)
Abstract:According to the actual changes of agricultural water amount within a certain range,this paper introduces a continuous ordered weighted operator to aggregate the interval number,and then Shaanxi agricultural water amount prediction model which could effectively deal with the uncertain information is constructed based on grey prediction modeling concept.Finally the feasibility and practicality of this method were empirically verified in predicting the agricultural water amount in Shaanxi Province.
Keywords:GM(1  1)
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