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四川盆地冬小麦干旱监测预警技术研究及应用
引用本文:张玉芳,王明田,王素艳. 四川盆地冬小麦干旱监测预警技术研究及应用[J]. 安徽农业科学, 2010, 38(19): 10154-10155,10329
作者姓名:张玉芳  王明田  王素艳
作者单位:1. 四川省农业气象中心,四川成都,610072
2. 宁夏气象台,宁夏银川,750002
基金项目:四川季节性干旱区粮食作物综合节水技术研究与示范项目,南方季节性干旱防控技术研究项目,四川省粮食安全农业气象问题研究项目 
摘    要:针对四川省作物干旱监测业务服务需求,选择能够充分反映作物不同生育期干旱程度并容易获得的多个因子指标,采用主成分分析法确定各指标的权重,根据工作经验进行细微调整,构建冬小麦干旱综合监测预警指标,并在此基础上建立了四川盆地冬小麦干旱监测预警系统,实现逐日监测预测并输出图形。模型有利于对盆地小麦旱情进行综合判断,检验效果良好,可在业务中逐步完善推广。

关 键 词:水分亏缺  综合指标  小麦干旱  四川盆地

Study on Wheat Drought Monitoring and Prediction Technique and Its Operational Application in Sichuan Basin
ZHANG Yu-fang et al. Study on Wheat Drought Monitoring and Prediction Technique and Its Operational Application in Sichuan Basin[J]. Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences, 2010, 38(19): 10154-10155,10329
Authors:ZHANG Yu-fang et al
Affiliation:ZHANG Yu-fang et al(Agrometeorological Center of Sichuan Province,Chengdu,Sichuan 610072)
Abstract:Aiming at the operation and service demands of crop drought in Sichuan Province,multiple factor indices were selected which can reflect crop drought degree at different growth stage adequately and easy to obtain.The Analytic Principal Component method was used to determine the weight of each factor,and the weight could be tiny changed according to work experience.On this basis,the wheat drought monitoring and warning system of Sichuan Basin was established which could be used as drought monitoring day by da...
Keywords:Water deficit  Comprehensive index  Wheat drought  Sichuan Basin  
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