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工程建设项目全寿命周期健康状态评价模型及其风险贡献因子
引用本文:林立,范立础. 工程建设项目全寿命周期健康状态评价模型及其风险贡献因子[J]. 福建农林大学学报(自然科学版), 2011, 40(1): 110-112
作者姓名:林立  范立础
作者单位:林立,LIN Li(福建农林大学交通学院,福建,福州,350002;福州大学土木工程学院,福建,福州,350108);范立础,FAN Li-chu(福州大学土木工程学院,福建,福州,350108;同济大学土木工程减灾防灾国家重点实验室,上海,200092)
摘    要:针对传统工程风险管理方法的弊端,引人工程全寿命理念,建立了直观的工程阶段健康状态评价指标和健康等级概率评估模型,并通过对工程全寿命周期内各个阶段风险可能的分析,评价了工程各阶段的风险贡献因子和风险影响程度.

关 键 词:风险管理  全寿命期  风险因子  健康状态评估

Health estimation model and risk contribution factors in engineering project life-cycle
LIN Li,FAN Li-chu. Health estimation model and risk contribution factors in engineering project life-cycle[J]. Journal of Fujian Agricultural and Forestry University, 2011, 40(1): 110-112
Authors:LIN Li  FAN Li-chu
Affiliation:LIN Li1,2,FAN Li-chu2,3(1.College of Traffic,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fuzhou,Fujian 350008,China,2.College of Civil Engineering,Fuzhou University,Fujian 350001,3.State Key Laboratory for Disaster Reduction in Civil Engineering,Tongji University,Shanghai 200092,China)
Abstract:Based on the disadvantages of traditional engineering risk management method,the idea of project′s life-cycle method was introduced in risk analysis.The intuitive guideline for stage health estimation and project health grade probability model were set up in this paper.The risk contribution factors and influence degree in different engineering stages were also estimated by analyzing the risk possibility of project life-cycle stages.
Keywords:risk management  project life-cycle  risk factor  engineering health estimation  
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