活立木市场交易价格影响因素研究

基于2018—2020年浙江省龙泉市900宗活立木交易数据，采用半对数多元线性回归模型研究木材市场价格、单位面积蓄积、林分质量等因素对活立木交易价格的影响。结果表明，龙泉市活立木交易平均价格为3 976元/hm²，木材市场价格、单位面积蓄积、单位面积株数、平均胸径对活立木交易价格有显著的正向影响；流入方性质和流出方性质对活立木交易价格有显著影响，且影响存在差异性。提出规范木材市场交易，加强森林资源评估工作，提升交易的公平性，全面推进林权抵押贷款等建议。

Factors Affecting Transaction Price of Living Timber Market

Based on 900 transaction data of living timber from 2018 to 2020 in Longquan City, Zhejiang Province, a semi-logarithmic linear regression model was used to study the factors affecting the transaction price, such as timber market price, accumulation per unit area, and stand quality. The results showed that the average transaction price of living timber in Longquan was 3 976 yuan per hectare, and the market price of timber, the accumulation per unit area, the number of trees, and the average DBH had significantly increased the transaction price of living timber; the nature of inflow and outflow significantly affected the transaction price of living timber. This paper proposed to standardize timber market transactions, strengthen forest resource assessment, improve fairness in transactions, and comprehensively promote forest property mortgage loans.