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山东省耕地变化与人口增长及经济发展间的关系初探
引用本文:刘海灵,潘剑君,刘兆德.山东省耕地变化与人口增长及经济发展间的关系初探[J].中国农学通报,2007,23(1):123-123.
作者姓名:刘海灵  潘剑君  刘兆德
作者单位:1. 南京农业大学资源与环境科学学院,江苏南京,210095;南京农业大学公共管理学院,江苏南京,210095
2. 南京农业大学资源与环境科学学院,江苏南京,210095
3. 山东建筑大学建筑城规学院,济南,250101
基金项目:国家自然科学基金;山东省社会科学规划项目
摘    要:选择GDP增长率、人口增长率和耕地面积减少率作为主要分析指标,分析了1978—2000年山东经济增长,人口增长和耕地面积减少之间的关系,并选用1991—2000年的数据以市为单位探讨了区域差异。发现改革开放以来的20几年,耕地面积大量减少的时间和经济过热的增长阶段基本同步,具体受固定资产投资规模的牵动。认为经济增长是耕地面积减少的主要宏观驱动因子。

关 键 词:水稻    水稻    稻米品质    气象因子
修稿时间:2006-10-142006-10-16

Preliminary Study on the Correlation among Cultivated Land Area Decrease, Economic Development and Population Growth in Shandong Province
Liu Hailing,Pan Jianjun,Liu Zhaode.Preliminary Study on the Correlation among Cultivated Land Area Decrease, Economic Development and Population Growth in Shandong Province[J].Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin,2007,23(1):123-123.
Authors:Liu Hailing  Pan Jianjun  Liu Zhaode
Institution:1.College of Resources and Environmental science, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095; 2.College of Public Administration, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095; 3.College of Architecture and City Planning of Shandong Architecture University, Jinan, 250101
Abstract:The rates of GDP growth,population growth and cultivated land area decrease were selected as the three major factors for analysis in this paper.The correlations of cultivated land area decrease,economic development and population growth in Shandong province from 1978 to 2000 were discussed in details as the major subject.In addition,region difference was discussed in this paper by analyzing the data of every city.It was found that in the past 20 years of the China's reform and opening to the outside world,cultivated land area decrease of cultivated land area was impacted directly by the investment in fixed assets.The conclusion is that economic growth was the most important factor to drive cultivated land area decrease in Shandong province.
Keywords:Cultivated land resources  Population growth rate  GDP rate of increase  Reduction rate of the cultivated area  Coefficient correlation
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