北大荒农业现代化的绿色发展模式与进程评价

探索我国农业现代化的发展新理念、新模式、新路径,有利于加快推进农业现代化步伐。基于北大荒农业现代化的发展实践,提出北大荒农业现代化的绿色发展内涵、目标与特征,探索北大荒农业现代化的绿色发展模式;在此基础上,从经济、社会及生态三个维度,对农业现代化的绿色发展评价指标体系进行系统设计,采用层级等值赋权法与"目标一致性"评价法,综合评价北大荒农业现代化的绿色发展进程,探讨北大荒农业现代化的制度保障。研究表明,北大荒农业现代化从2010年开始已领先全国其他地区贯彻落实绿色发展理念,绿色发展进程综合实现程度已超过50%,即绿色发展进程已顺利推进一半。2010-2015年北大荒农业现代化的绿色发展进程综合实现程度进一步从50.46%上升至59.45%,其中,社会福利实现程度上升最快,其次是经济效益实现程度,生态财富实现程度上升较慢,但生态财富的实现程度已超过社会福利和经济效益。2015-2020年北大荒农业现代化的绿色发展进程综合实现程度预计将从59.45%上升至67.23%。2047年北大荒将完成农业现代化的全面绿色转型。北大荒农业现代化的绿色发展道路的探索,作为中国农业现代化的绿色发展道路的缩影,既是中国农业现代化绿色转型的历史责任,更是支撑中国现代化绿色发展的重要任务。

The green development mode and the process evaluation of agricultural modernization in Beidahuang

Exploring new ideas, modes and paths of agricultural modernization development will accelerate the pace of agricultural modernization in China. By examining the development and practice of agricultural modernization in Beidahuang, this paper discussed the connotation, the goals, and the characteristics of the green development path of agricultural modernization in Beidahuang. In addition, applying the hierarchical equivalence method and target consistency evaluation method, this paper also constructed an evaluation index system, including three dimensions of economics, society and natural ecology, to evaluate the green development process of agricultural modernization in Beidahuang and to discuss the institutional guarantee of modern agriculture. Results show that the realization degree of the green development process of agricultural modernization in Beidahuang has a leading position in the nation and has been realized for more than 50% since 2010, and continued to grow to 59.45% in 2015. The speed of social welfare realization has been the fastest, followed by the speeds of the realization of economic benefits and the realization of ecological wealth. However, the realization degree of ecological wealth exceeded those of the social welfare and economic benefits. By prediction, the green development process of agricultural modernization in Beidahuang will increase to 67.23% in 2020 and will be fully realized (100%) in 2047. The experience of the green development path of agricultural modernization in Beidahuang plays an exemplary role for other regions in China, and provides a critical guidance for other regions.