大豆灰斑病Fuzzy测报模型

本文运用模糊数学理论建立了大豆灰斑病预测预报模型。经对国营350农场种植的大豆中熟品种“合丰25”十年的资料拟合,符合率达90%,对中熟品种“黑农26”九年的资料拟合,符合率达89%,对早熟品种“黑河3号”九年的资料拟合,符合率达78%。     

河南卫河流域脆弱性评价

结合卫河自身特点和地理环境建立13项指标体系,运用基于熵权的模糊数学模型对其脆弱性进行评价。结果表明,鹤壁的脆弱性为0.69,焦作为0.55,新乡为0.39,安阳为0.36,濮阳为0.23。最后针对评价结果分析了原因,提出了合理性建议和措施。     

Performance of DSSAT-Nwheat across a wide range of current and future growing conditions

Crop models are widely used in agricultural impact studies. However, many studies have reported large uncertainties from single-model-based simulation analyses, suggesting the need for multi-model simulation capabilities. In this study, the APSIM-Nwheat model was integrated into the Decision Support System for Agro-technology (DSSAT), which already includes two wheat models, to create multi-model simulation capabilities for wheat cropping systems analysis. The new model in DSSAT (DSSAT-Nwheat) was evaluated using more than 1000 observations from field experiments of 65 treatments, which included a wide range of nitrogen fertilizer applications, water supply (irrigation and rainout shelter), planting dates, elevated atmospheric CO₂ concentrations, temperature variations, cultivars, and soil types in diverse climatic regions that represented the main wheat growing areas of the world.DSSAT-Nwheat reproduced the observed grain yields well with an overall root mean square deviation (RMSD) of 0.89 t/ha (13%). Nitrogen applications, water supply, and planting dates had large effects on observed biomass and grain yields, and the model reproduced these crop responses well. Crop total biomass and nitrogen uptake were reproduced well despite relatively poor simulations of observed leaf area measurements during the growing season. The low sensitivity of biomass simulations to poor simulations of leaf area index (LAI) were due to little changes in intercepted solar radiation at LAI >3 and water and nitrogen stress often limiting photosynthesis and growth rather than light interception at low LAI.The responses of DSSAT-Nwheat to temperature variations and elevated atmospheric CO₂ concentrations were close to observed responses. When compared with the two other DSSAT-wheat models (CERES and CROPSIM), these responses were similar, except for the responses to hot environments, due to different approaches in modeling heat stress effects.The comprehensive evaluation of the DSSAT-Nwheat model with field measurements, including a comparison with two other DSSAT-wheat models, created a multi-model simulation platform that allows the quantification of model uncertainties in wheat impact assessments.     

基于模糊评判法的长安区滑坡崩塌灾害易发性分区评价

在对长安区滑坡崩塌地质灾害发育现状及形成条件分析的基础上,结合地质灾害易发性分区评价方法,采用模糊综合评判法对长安区滑坡崩塌地质灾害进行了易发性区划评价。结果表明,长安区滑坡崩塌易发性分区分为6个高易发区域、3个中易发区、1个低易发区(C)和1个不易发区(D),高易发区总面积为190.94 km2,中易发区为382.93 km2,低易发区为299.21 km2,不易发区为707.56km2。     

E－凸集的几个基本性质

利用比较与分析的方法，由E-凸集的定义出发，研究了E-凸集的若干基本性质．所得结果丰富并深化了凸分析的基本内容，拓宽了广义凸性在优化理论及其应用中的研究范围．     

A Method of Analyzing the Parameter Sensitivity of Large Rotor Systems and Its Application

Based upon the eigenvalue sensitivity theory of non-self-adjoit system and the component mode synthesis method,a new technique is developed to analyze the eigenvalue sensitivity to variation of parameters of large rotor-bearing system. As an application, the influence of the journal bearing parameters on the stability of a large domestic turbine-generator set is analyzed and discussed.     

Weighting Coefficient Optimization Unification of Lexicographic Method in Fuzzy Multi -objective Optimization Design

The Lexicographic method has subjective and empirical character,so a weighting coefficient is introduced by considering the importance and proportion of each individual object,the preferable result of every individual object can be confirmed by comparing the degree of similarity between the perfect one and the ecumenic one and the Fuzzy optimization will be perfect.The effectiveness of these methods is illustrated by a fuzzy optimal design of the three-bar truss.     

山西草地螟发生预测模糊近似推理模型

模糊近似推理方法是模糊集理论应用前景十分广泛的一种方法.我们用此法为山西草地螟发生预测建立了一个模糊近似推理模型,初步试用效果满意.本文在模型的预报输出中引用了特征展开近似推理方法,大幅度地简化了运算过程;并且使得模型可以带入较多的因素.     

临界风速气力输送模糊控制仿真

基于MATLAB／Simulink软件环境，建立了临界风速气力输送模糊控制模型，并进行了仿真研究。仿真结果表明，模糊控制器能很好地达到预期控制效果，并具有快速、准确的优点，从而解决了气力输送过程中按动耗最低原则自动调节和控制风速的问题，为气力输送系统的性能改进提供了一条途径。