旱地生态学问题弱解对初值的连续依赖性

随着工业化的发展,人们越来越注重生态环境保护问题.利用能量方法,采用Sobolev不等式研究了旱地生态学问题,得到了旱地生态学问题非负弱解对初值的连续依赖性.     

常利率通货膨胀下有扰动的双复合Poisson-Geometric过程的两险种风险模型

考虑常利率及通货膨胀下有扰动的双复合Poisson-Geometric过程的两险种风险模型,运用鞅方法得到破产概率满足的Lundberg不等式和一般公式,当保费和索赔服从指数分布和混合指数分布时,得到破产概率的精确表达式。     

基于变分法的FY-3C土壤水分产品适用性分析

FY-3C作为我国风云三号首颗业务卫星,其上搭载的微波成像仪(MWRI)可提供全天候土壤水分数据。【目的】获取高质量土壤水分数据可以对合理利用土壤水资源提供参考,为农田干旱监控和预报提供基础参数。【方法】选取山东省农业气象站土壤水分数据对FY-3C土壤水分产品进行检验,为获取更高质量FY-3C土壤水分产品,选用变分订正方法对FY-3C土壤水分产品进行偏差订正。【结果】FY-3C升降轨土壤水分产品与地面站土壤水分相关系数R分别为0.481 6和0.408 2,RMSE分别为0.099 6和0.091 0 cm~3/cm~3。订正后FY-3C升降轨土壤水分产品与地面站土壤水分R分别为0.701 4和0.892 4,RMSE分别为0.021 7和0.011 cm~3/cm~3。对2016年3—4月山东省干旱过程订正前、后FY-3C土壤水分变化情况进行对比,订正后FY-3C土壤水分更准确地反映出此次干旱过程。【结论】FY-3C土壤水分产品可以准确反映土壤水分随时间的变化趋势,订正后FY-3C土壤水分产品与地面站土壤水分间误差减小、相关性提高。     

THE EXISTENCE OF APPROXIMATE EXTREME POIKTS OF CONSTRAINED OPTIMIZATION

According to the theories o?Riemannian manifolds and variational principles, two theorems about the existence of approximate extreme point of constrained optimization are given in this paper.     

Evidence of sedimentation inequality along riparian areas colonised by Impatiens glandulifera (Himalayan balsam)

Soil loss from riparian areas supporting the annual invasive weed, Impatiens glandulifera (Himalayan balsam), was measured and compared with equivalent values recorded at nearby, topographically similar areas supporting perennial vegetation over a cumulative seven-year period, along sections of two separate river systems; one in Switzerland, and one in the UK. Soil loss from colonised locations was significantly greater than from reference locations in four of the seven measurement periods. Despite contrasting results, standard deviations, based on soil losses and gains, were predominantly higher for colonised areas at both rivers over most monitoring periods. These findings indicated that areas colonised by Himalayan balsam experience higher sediment flux in comparison with areas free of invasion. Here, we test those original interpretations by reinterrogating the datasets using a more robust analysis of inequality. Nine datasets were tested, five of which (i.e. 56%) showed that sediment flux was significantly greater at Himalayan balsam-invaded areas than at reference areas. Three datasets showed no difference in sediment flux between invaded and reference areas (33%), and one (11%) showed higher sediment flux at reference areas. Most results uphold our original interpretations and support our hypothesis that hydrochory probably dictates where colonisation initially occurs, by depositing Himalayan balsam seeds in slack or depressional areas along river margins. Once Himalayan balsam becomes established and sufficient perennial vegetation is displaced, seasonal die-off and depleted vegetation cover may increase the risk that some areas will experience significantly higher sediment flux.     

土地确权对农户地权稳定性感知的影响——基于村庄内土地不平等视角的分析

稳定的农地产权能够激励农户农地投资,有助于促进农地资源可持续利用和农业可持续发展。土地确权是稳定农地产权的重要正式制度安排,即稳定地权是新一轮土地确权承载的重要功能。基于诱致性制度变迁理论和社会心理学理论,以黄土高原苹果优势区为研究对象,利用实地调研数据,采用Logit和Ologit模型,从村庄内家庭土地不平等视角分析土地确权对农户地权稳定性感知的影响及其作用机制,探讨新一轮农地确权的地权稳定效应。结果表明,在研究区域,33.79%的农户已完成新一轮土地确权颁证,62.64%的农户认为研究地块在未来不会被重新调整,即感知的地权稳定性水平较高。新一轮土地确权显著强化了农户的地权稳定性感知,且在控制村庄内土地不平等的情境中具有更高的强化效果;村庄内家庭土地不平等对农户地权稳定性感知具有显著的弱化效应,且土地不平等在土地确权对农户地权稳定性感知的影响中具有负向调节作用。因此,在"三权分置"产权制度改革中,政府应重视规范土地确权程序,加强产权制度改革宣传和信息披露,同时,注重以政策调整和市场配置相结合的方式,降低土地不平等造成的负面影响,强化土地产权制度改革的政策效果。     

基于改进VMD的离心泵空化声发射信号特征提取

针对变分模态分解算法中分解层数和惩罚因子不易确定的问题,提出一种改进变分模态分解(improved variational mode decomposition,IVMD)算法,并将其应用于离心泵空化声发射信号特征提取.应用IVMD算法时,首先根据包络熵差异系数确定变分模态分解的分解层数;然后采用人工蜂群算法优化得出惩罚因子,并将其作为变分模态分解的最佳输入参数.利用IVMD算法对仿真信号进行分析,并与集合经验模态分解结果进行比较.以60%额定流量下采集到的离心泵进口处的声发射信号为例进行IVMD计算,分析携带原信号大量信息的信号分量的频域特征及其绝对能量随离心泵空化状态变化的关系.结果表明:IVMD算法能够择优确定分解层数和惩罚因子,实现非平稳信号的自适应分解.反映离心泵空化状态的声发射信号特征频率集中在50,100 kHz及其附近.随着离心泵空化从无到有、从弱到强的变化,这2个特征频率范围信号分量绝对能量值呈“基本保持不变-减小-增大”的变化规律.     

基于GOES数据和弱约束变分的地表水热通量估算

基于弱约束的四维变分方法和陆面过程模式发展了一个地表温度的陆面数据同化系统。本文反演了地球静止业务环境卫星(Geostationary operational environmental satellite,GOES)的地表温度,并将反演的地表温度同化入陆面过程模式,改进陆面过程模式中地表水热通量的估算精度。以弱约束的变分方法通过在代价函数中增加弱约束项代替陆面过程模式动力方程组中存在的模式误差,构建新的代价函数并对其优化,从而改善模式中显热与潜热的估算精度。将GOES地表温度与实测地表温度进行比较,其均方根误差(RMSE)作为试验中的观测误差。选择美国通量网AmeriFlux中2个主要农业站点的气象和通量数据作为试验数据,对同化系统进行驱动和验证。结果表明同化后的地表温度、潜/显热估算精度均有提高。其中,各站地表温度RMSE平均仅为1 K,显热通量平均RMSE下降22 W/m2,潜热通量平均RMSE下降26 W/m2。因此结合陆面过程模式的弱约束变分方法同化GOES反演温度产品估算近地表水热通量的方法是有效且可行的。     

多元线性回归中控制问题求解方法的探讨

从标准线性回归方程出发,首先确定标准化因变量回归值的控制区间,然后找出一个ｍ元一次不完全方程的解集合,根据回归方程的特定意义,在该解集合中求得满足标准回归方程控制问题的子集合,最后应用标准回归方程与一般回归方程的关系,求出一般线性回归控制问题解的子集合及计算公式,经实例验证符合要求。