小麦条锈病流行程度趋势预测专家系统雏型

本文运用知识工程语言 M·1构造了一个用于小麦条锈病流行程度趋势预测的专家系统雏型。专家的知识用产生式规则来表示。知识库中的知识规则可相对独立,便于知识库的扩充和完善。     

GI PiCO2: Tissue Specific Monitoring For Improving Patient Outcomes

Improvements in human patient monitoring despite their development in animals, do not always find their way into veterinary clinical use due to financial constraints. Gastrointestinal intraluminal CO₂ partial pressure (Gip₁CO₂) monitoring, however, is not only proving very beneficial in human trauma and critical patient care but is also very likely to become relatively inexpensive. By providing information on the perfusion adequacy of a high risk, critically important tissue, the GI mucosa, GI P₁CO₂ monitoring offers an easily accesible indicator of the efficacy and adequacy of resuscitative interventions. The potential for decreasing morbidity and mortality is enormous. Therefore, the practicing veterinarian should become familiar with GI P₁CO₂ monitoring theory and technology so he or she can be better prepared to incorporate it into practice when in becomes available.     

火鸡隐孢子虫在鹌鹑体内发育史的研究

分离自鹌鹑的火鸡隐孢子虫经口感染２日龄鹌鹑，潜在期为３ｄ，开放期为４－１８ｄ。它在鹌鹑体内发育史过程为：卵巢经口接种后，于十二指肠，空肠，回肠肠腔中子孢子脱囊，至接种后６ｈ全部子孢子脱囊完毕。接种后６ｈ在小肠中出现滋养体。接种后１２ｈ在小肠中出现内含８个裂殖子的裂殖体及裂殖子，接种后４８ｈ滋养体和裂殖体开始出现于直肠。接种后５４ｈ，在小肠，直扬中出现含有１６个子弹形小配子的小配子体。小配子与大配子     

应用积分GM(1,1)模型进行杉木炭疽病预测预报的研究

以积分生成代替传统的累加生成方法 ,并用双向差分建立积分GM (1,1)灰色预测模型进行杉木炭疽病预测预报的研究 ,结果表明积分GM (1,1)模型能较好地预测杉木炭疽病在三明市的发生     

塔里木盆地北缘植被生活型组成的分析

塔里木盆地北缘地区共记录野生植物123种,在其生活型组成中,地面芽植物居首位,达35.6%,次为一年生植物占22.7%,表现本区植被具有温带荒漠的特殊属性。塔里木盆地为我国最干旱的内陆盆地。这一区域的环境及生物群的特点曾引起有关学者的广泛兴趣。上世纪末至本世纪初,普热瓦尔斯基、别夫佐夫、罗布拉夫斯基等曾先后在新疆进行考察,斯文赫定和斯坦因曾对胡杨作过描述,谢彬曾论及胡杨的分布。1957至1958年间,中国科学院新疆综考队对塔里木盆地的环境和植被进行了大量的工作。此后     

Predicting the spatial distribution of ground flora on large domains using a hierarchical Bayesian model

Accomodation of important sources of uncertainty in ecological models is essential to realistically predicting ecological processes. The purpose of this project is to develop a robust methodology for modeling natural processes on a landscape while accounting for the variability in a process by utilizing environmental and spatial random effects. A hierarchical Bayesian framework has allowed the simultaneous integration of these effects. This framework naturally assumes variables to be random and the posterior distribution of the model provides probabilistic information about the process. Two species in the genus Desmodium were used as examples to illustrate the utility of the model in Southeast Missouri, USA. In addition, two validation techniques were applied to evaluate the qualitative and quantitative characteristics of the predictions.This revised version was published online in May 2005 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

新亚欧大陆桥新疆段受损区段的灰色预测

在对新亚欧大陆桥新疆段受损区段、受损长度及受损频率和受损密度详尽分析的基础上，揭示了陆桥新疆段受损区段的时空分布规律。并依据灾害的时序分布特征，运用灰色原理和方法，根据受损区段数确立阈值和相应的年份序列，分别建立GM（1，1）模型，求出年份序列的序号响应式，并对实际值和理论预测结果进行了拟合检验，模型群的原点误差范围为0.198-1.314之间，平均误差为0.823-1.917，并同时预测了陆桥新疆段2001－2005年间可能的受损区段数。     

棉蚜预测预报网络数据库系统的设计与开发

依据棉蚜Aphis gossypii Glover测报的国家行业标准(GB／T15799．1995)及其测报调查的相关信息标准，利用分布式数据库SQL建立了棉蚜预测预报数据库，数据库主要包括早春木本寄主蚜虫调查、早春草本寄主蚜虫调查、苗期棉蚜消长情况调查、苗期棉蚜普查、伏期棉蚜系统调查、伏期棉蚜普查、棉田天敌系统调查、植保站信息和气象信息等12个数据表；利用Internet网络技术和网络开发软件，建立了浏览器／服务器应用程序结构体系，实现了棉蚜虫情数据维护、查询、统计、报表和打印等网络数据库管理和预测数据挖掘功能。棉蚜网络数据库的建立和浏览器／服务器应用程序结构体系的组建和实现，为棉蚜区域化预测预报和管理提供了有力的科学和技术支持。