Multi-step ahead soil temperature forecasting at different depths based on meteorological data: Integrating resampling algorithms and machine learning models

Direct soil temperature (ST) measurement is time-consuming and costly;thus,the use of simple and cost-effective machine learning (ML) tools is helpful.In this study,ML approaches,including KStar,instance-based K-nearest learning (IBK),and locally weighted learning (LWL),coupled with resampling algorithms of bagging (BA) and dagging (DA)(BA-IBK,BA-KStar,BA-LWL,DA-IBK,DA-KStar,and DA-LWL) were developed and tested for multi-step ahead (3,6,and 9 d ahead) ST forecasting.In addition,a linear regress...     

Comparing the Soil Conservation Service model with new machine learning algorithms for predicting cumulative infiltration in semi-arid regions

Water infiltration into soil is an important process in hydrologic cycle; however, its measurement is difficult, time-consuming and costly. Empirical and physical models have been developed to predict cumulative infiltration (CI), but are often inaccurate. In this study, several novel standalone machine learning algorithms (M5Prime (M5P), decision stump (DS), and sequential minimal optimization (SMO)) and hybrid algorithms based on additive regression (AR) (i.e., AR-M5P, AR-DS, and AR-SMO) and weighted instance handler wrapper (WIHW) (i.e., WIHW-M5P, WIHW-DS, and WIHW-SMO) were developed for CI prediction. The Soil Conservation Service (SCS) model developed by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), one of the most popular empirical models to predict CI, was considered as a benchmark. Overall, 154 measurements of CI (explanatory/input variables) were taken from 16 sites in a semi-arid region of Iran (Illam and Lorestan provinces). Six input variable combinations were considered based on Pearson correlations between candidate model inputs (time of measuring and soil bulk density, moisture content, and sand, clay, and silt percentages) and CI. The dataset was divided into two subgroups at random:70% of the data were used for model building (training dataset) and the remaining 30% were used for model validation (testing dataset). The various models were evaluated using different graphical approaches (bar charts, scatter plots, violin plots, and Taylor diagrams) and quantitative measures (root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and percent bias (PBIAS)). Time of measuring had the highest correlation with CI in the study area. The best input combinations were different for different algorithms. The results showed that all hybrid algorithms enhanced the CI prediction accuracy compared to the standalone models. The AR-M5P model provided the most accurate CI predictions (RMSE=0.75 cm, MAE=0.59 cm, NSE=0.98), while the SCS model had the lowest performance (RMSE=4.77 cm, MAE=2.64 cm, NSE=0.23). The differences in RMSE between the best model (AR-M5P) and the second-best (WIHW-M5P) and worst (SCS) were 40% and 84%, respectively.     

Modeling lactation curves and estimation of genetic parameters in Holstein cows using multiple‐trait random regression models

We compared the goodness of fit of three mathematical functions (including: Legendre polynomials, Lidauer‐Mäntysaari function and Wilmink function) for describing the lactation curve of primiparous Iranian Holstein cows by using multiple‐trait random regression models (MT‐RRM). Lactational submodels provided the largest daily additive genetic (AG) and permanent environmental (PE) variance estimates at the end and at the onset of lactation, respectively, as well as low genetic correlations between peripheral test‐day records. For all models, heritability estimates were highest at the end of lactation (245 to 305 days) and ranged from 0.05 to 0.26, 0.03 to 0.12 and 0.04 to 0.24 for milk, fat and protein yields, respectively. Generally, the genetic correlations between traits depend on how far apart they are or whether they are on the same day in any two traits. On average, genetic correlations between milk and fat were the lowest and those between fat and protein were intermediate, while those between milk and protein were the highest. Results from all criteria (Akaike's and Schwarz's Bayesian information criterion, and ?2*logarithm of the likelihood function) suggested that a model with 2 and 5 coefficients of Legendre polynomials for AG and PE effects, respectively, was the most adequate for fitting the data.     

The effect of Rosa damascena essential oil on the amygdala electrical kindling seizures in rat

We investigated the effect of Rosa damascena Mill, essential oil on the development of induced amygdala kindling seizures. Male Wistar rats were implanted with one tripolar and two monopolar electrodes in right basolateral amygdala and dura surface, respectively. The control group was injected solvent of essential oil and two experimental groups were injected 750 and 1000 mg kg(-1) of essential oil (ip), 30 min before a daily kindling stimulation. The number of stimulations required for the first appearance of seizure stages was significantly larger in two experimental groups than in control group. Mean after discharge duration was significantly different and essential oil reduced the increase of after discharge duration. Mean after discharge amplitude was also shorter in the groups treated with essential oil than in control group. Duration time for 5th stage of seizure at fully-kindled rats was significantly shorter in two experimental groups than control group. These results suggest that Rosa damascena essential oil significantly retarded the development of seizure stages and possesses the ability to counteract kindling acquisition. The flavonoids of Rosa damascena may act via GABAA receptors as previous studies have proposed for flavonoids of other medicinal plants. More detailed studies are recommended to define the effective component(s) of Rosa on different types of epilepsy.