基于机器学习算法的奶牛疾病预测模型的研究

【目的】评估建立奶牛疾病预测模型的6种机器学习(machine learning, ML)算法的性能及预测变量的重要性。【方法】选取2020年12月至2021年11月,共计944头泌乳牛的生产信息、行为信息作为预测因子,疾病信息作为输出变量,训练并验证模型。将日产奶量、反刍量、活动量、胎次和泌乳天数作为输入变量,利用ML算法建立奶牛疾病的预测模型,评估决策树(Decision Tree, DT) C5.0、CHAID算法、人工神经网络(Artificial Neural Network, ANN)、随机森林(Random Forests, RF)、贝叶斯网络(Bayesian Networks, BN)和逻辑回归(Logistic Regression, LR)6种ML算法的性能,评估预测变量的重要性,以及将胎次和泌乳天数纳入预测变量后模型性能的改善情况。采用敏感性和特异性评估模型性能,按照权重排序评估输入变量对模型预测的重要性。【结果】DT C5.0算法敏感性>85%,特异性>90%,为性能最佳的模型;RF总敏感性为56.8%,对各类牛预测的性能较稳定;ANN、BN、DT...     

复方黄芪颗粒防治鸡传染性法氏囊病的疗效试验

应用复方黄芪颗粒对鸡传染性法氏囊炎病毒人工感染病例进行试验,结果表明,有效率达到80%~92%,治愈率达到68%~76%,均高于对照药物,差异极显著(P<0.01)。推荐剂量为每升饮水中加入1g复方黄芪颗粒,连用5 d。     

Response of black, cranberry, kidney, and white bean to linuron

Dry bean producers in Ontario, Canada, have few herbicide options available for annual broad-leaved weed management and there is little information on the tolerance of dry bean to linuron. The tolerance of black, cranberry, kidney, and white bean to the pre-emergence (PRE) application of linuron at the rates of 0, 500, 1000, 1500, 2000, and 2500 g ai ha⁻¹ was evaluated in field studies conducted in 2005 and 2006 at Exeter and in 2006 at Ridgetown, Ontario. The four market classes differed in their response to linuron. Cranberry and kidney bean were more tolerant to the PRE application of linuron than black and white bean. Linuron applied PRE caused as much as 12% injury in cranberry and kidney bean, 47% injury in black bean, and 56% injury in white bean. Linuron applied PRE at 500–2500 g ai ha⁻¹ had no effect on the height of cranberry and kidney bean but decreased the height by 7, 8, and 15% in black bean and by 10, 13, and 23% in white bean at 1500, 2000, and 2500 g ai ha⁻¹, respectively. Linuron applied PRE at the rates evaluated did not cause any adverse affect on the yield of cranberry, kidney, and white bean but black bean yield was reduced by 16% at 2500 g ai ha⁻¹. Based on these results, there is not an adequate margin of crop safety for the PRE application of linuron in black and white bean at rates >1000 g ai ha⁻¹. However, there is a potential for the use of linuron PRE for weed management in cranberry and kidney bean at the rates evaluated.     

黑龙江省大豆疫霉根腐病调查与病原分离

１９９６年对黑龙江省东部和中部大豆产区２３个市、县的大豆苗期疫霉根腐病进行了调查、研究,应用ＰＢＮＩＣ疫霉选择性培养基分离大豆疫霉根腐病病原菌,从牡丹江、穆棱、林口和佳木斯豆田具疫霉根腐症状的大豆植株上分离到大豆疫霉根腐病菌,并从根腐病株上单独或与大豆疫霉菌同时分离到终极腐霉菌,研究进一步证实我国黑龙江省有大豆疫霉根腐病。调查发现,大豆疫霉根腐病和终极腐霉根腐病主要发生在土质粘重、土壤含水量高或易积水的田块。     

甘肃省定西市当归“水烂病”病原鉴定及致病性测定

水烂病是甘肃省当归上发生的一种病害.本试验对水烂病病原菌的形态特征、培养特性、生理生化指标进行了测定,同时结合16SrDNA序列测定和相似性比对,发现该病原菌与GenBank数据库已知荧光假单胞杆菌第2生物型(Pseudornonas fluorescens生物型Ⅱ)的序列相似性达99％,其片段大小为1445 bp,编号为ZB1.致病性测定结果表明,该病原菌对‘岷归2号’(新繁品种)致病力最强,‘岷归1号’(主栽品种)次之,对‘朝鲜当归’(引进品种)的致病力最弱.本研究首次报道了荧光假单胞杆菌第2生物型能引起当归水烂病.     

荔枝害虫群落结构及其动态研究

以栽培品种ＮＣ８９为对照,通过室内饲养和组织切片,系统研究了转双基因抗虫烟草对烟夜蛾和小地老虎幼虫的抗性表现。结果表明,转双基因抗虫烟草对烟夜蛾幼虫具有稳定的杀虫作用,取食后２－３ｄ死亡,死亡率达１００％,不同龄期间表现一致;对小地老虎幼虫个有一定的杀虫作用,其抗性随龄期的增加而减弱,１龄死亡率为４８％,２龄为２８％,３龄以后死亡率为０,但对各龄幼虫的生长发育均具有明显的抑制作用。     

Use of real-time PCR to examine the relationship between disease severity in pea and <Emphasis Type="Italic">Aphanomyces euteiches</Emphasis> DNA content in roots

Aphanomyces euteiches causes severe root rot of peas. Resistance is limited in commercial pea cultivars. Real-time fluorescent PCR assay specific for A. euteiches was used to study the relationship between disease severity and pathogen DNA content in infected peas. Five pea genotypes ranging in levels of resistance were inoculated with five isolates of A. euteiches. Plants were visually rated for disease development and the amount of pathogen DNA in roots was determined using the PCR assay. The susceptible genotypes Genie, DSP and Bolero tended to have significantly more disease and more pathogen DNA than the resistant genotypes 90-2079 and PI 180693. PI 180693 consistently had less disease, while 90-2079 had the lowest amount of pathogen DNA. The Spearman correlation between pathogen DNA quantity and disease development was positive and significant (P < 0.05) for three isolates, but was not significant for two other isolates. This suggests that the real-time PCR assay may have limited application as a selection tool for resistance in pea to A. euteiches. Its utility as a selection tool would be dependent on the correlation between disease development and pathogen DNA content for a given pathogen isolate. The accuracy and specificity of the real-time PCR assay suggests considerable application for the assay in the study of mechanisms of disease resistance and the study of microbial population dynamics in plants.     

2种中国黑块菌的介绍及可持续发展研究

黑块菌是一类珍稀的外生菌根食用菌。着重描述印度块菌和夏块菌的形态特征和鉴别特征,并介绍它们的生境及分布区域。同时,对块菌的可持续发展提出建议。     

中华蚊母新病害鉴定及防治技术研究

运用柯赫氏法则对中华蚊母上发生的一种病害进行了验证,并在室内培养基上测试了4种常用杀菌剂(75％百菌清WP、80％多菌灵WP、70％代森锰锌WP和250 g/L阿米西达)对该病原菌的抑菌效果.结果表明:该病害为中华蚊母叶部的一种新病害;初步定为中华蚊母炭疽病,病原菌为半知菌亚门刺盘孢属的胶孢炭疽菌(Colletotrichum gloeosporioids).4种杀菌剂中,以75％百菌清WP抑菌效果最好,80％多菌灵WP和250 g/L阿米西这次之,70％代森锰锌WP最差.     

Effect of external counterpulsation on asymmetry diethylarginine and endothelin levels in blood

AIM:To observe changes of serum asymmetry dimethylarginine (ADMA) and endothelin-1 (ET-1) levels,which reflect blood vessel endothelial function,after therapy of enhanced external counterpulsation(EECP) in patients who had taken percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty and stent.METHODS:Fifty one coronary heart disease patients (all of them had taken percutaneous tranluminal coronary angioplasty and stent) were distributed into two groups by matching them with ratio of 1∶2,17 patients in EECP group and 34 patients in control group.Both of two groups were given conventional medicine,in addition,EECP group was undertaken three courses of treatment of EECP.ADMA was detected by HPLC-fluorescence method,and ET-1 was detected by radio-immunity method.RESULTS:In EECP group ，compared with prior treatment,ADMA and ET-1 levels was obviously reduced (P<0.05).In control group,compared with prior treatment,ADMA had no significant difference (P>0.05) and ET-1 was higher (P<0.01).Compared between two groups,extent of decrease in ADMA and ET-1 levels in EECP group were more obvious than control group (P<0.01).Improvement of angina and decrease of frequency of angina was more obvious in EECP group than control group.Besides,decrease of ADMA level was positive correlation with them (r=0.85，0.70,respectively P<0.01).CONCLUSION:EECP reduces serum ADMA and ET-1 levels by increasing shear stress to vessel endothelium in coronary heart disease patients who had taken percutaneous tranluminal coronary angioplasty.It hints that EECP can improve endothelial function and provides experimental evidence for the combined treatment of coronary heart disease.