控制中国非点源污染的生物经济学战略

While non-point pollution from agriculture has become an increasingly serious problem in China, some progress has been made in studying the causal biophysical processes. However, few studies have assessed the economic consequences of non-point pollution in China or the policy options that could be employed to combat it. In this work a sustainable strategy to control non-point pollution from crop production, which involved taxing excessive inputs of irrigation water and fertilizer, was proposed. The approach taken to assess these measures combined biophysical and economic models,having a trade-off between economic returns and an improved environment. A proven and practical spatially referenced water and nutrient management model was used to determine the quantities of excessive irrigation water and fertilizer for specific soil and land use. Also, a set of indicators were proposed for evaluating the effects of agricultural economic output and agricultural practices on the environment.     

土壤重金属污染的非线性可拓综合评价

将非线性可拓综合评价方法应用于土壤重金属污染评价。分析了土壤重金属污染的影响因素,建立了土壤重金属污染评价的物元模型。将多指标土壤重金属污染的目标评价归结为单目标决策,比较简明确切地反映出土壤重金属污染。     

洱海湖滨区畜禽粪便污染与资源化利用措施

通过对洱海湖滨区畜禽生产及其粪便污染与利用现状进行调查研究,针对生产中存在的问题,提出控制污染加快畜禽粪便资源化利用措施。     

贵阳市主要土壤重金属状况研究

通过对2000～2003年贵阳市的白云区、修文县、开阳县、清镇市、息烽县、乌当区、小河区以及花溪区的多个旱地的表土和底土（53个样品）中重金属元素（汞、砷、铅、镉、铬）含量进行检测，以GB／T18407．1—2001《农产品安全质量无公害蔬菜产地环境要求》为标准，采用单因子指数法及N．L．Nemerow综合指数法进行评价，分析结果表明：贵阳市无公害蔬菜生产基地的大部分土壤中的5种重金属元素的含量基本在GB／T18407．1—2001规定的范围内，但也有个别区域内土样中砷、镉含量达到了警戒线的含量范围，如白云区底土中砷的单因子综合污染指数达到0．7968、乌当区表土中镉的单因子综合污染指数达到0．7542，两者都属于0．7～1．0污染警戒线范围内。总体土壤的表土、底土重金属综合污染指数分别为0．3785、0．4204，小于0．7，污染等级属于安全，污染水平为清洁，土壤环境质量为1级。     

Comparing Deterministic and Probabilistic Risk Assessments. A case study at a closed steel mill in southern Sweden (7 pp)

Background, Aims and Scope   Contaminated land is a high priority environmental problem in most of Europe and North-America. Sweden is no exception and generic guideline values have been developed for the initial assessment, but site-specific assessments are also needed. The generic guideline values are not applicable when the exposure conditions are different from the typical Swedish conditions or when the site contains a particularly sensitive ecosystem. The Swedish guideline values have, like in many other countries, been set by using deterministic point estimates for all variables and constants in the used multimedia model. The same approach is common also for site-specific assessments, and a limitation is that it fails to quantify variability and uncertainty. Probabilistic risk assessment provided a method to deal with this problem. Variability and uncertainty in the input parameters (variables or constants) are described by probability distributions, and likewise the output (risk or exposure) is presented as a probability distribution. A substantial number of probabilistic risk assessments for contaminated land at sites in North America, Europe and Asia have been published. However, an extensive review of the literature did not identify any study where probabilistic risk assessment was applied to a site contaminated by an iron or steel industry. Here we will describe such a case, where we have compared a deterministic point estimate with a probabilistic risk assessment for six elements and benzo[a]pyrene. Methods   The site had different metallurgical plants in operation for more than 100 years. Most parts of the steel mill were closed by the mid 1980s, and today the site is used by small-sized enterprises. The soil is contaminated with metals from the previous industrial operations. The present owner plans to develop the site and has therefore initiated extensive investigations of soil contamination. Sixty-two soil samples collected between 1997 and 2000 provided a good coverage of the whole site, and were analyzed for the content of different elements and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH). The exposure assessments were focused on six elements with high concentrations compared to the generic guideline values; arsenic (As), lead (Pb), cadmium (Cd), chromium (Cr), copper (Cu) and zinc (Zn). In addition, benzo[a]pyrene was included due to the high toxicity and comparatively high concentrations. Variability and uncertainty were characterized in a Monte Carlo simulation of exposures (10 000 iterations), and the exposures were evaluated with two land use scenarios; less sensitive use and sensitive use. Results and Discussion   The deterministic point estimates and the probabilistic estimates of the 95th percentile are in approximately the same ranges in the scenario of less sensitive land use. It is only the exposure for arsenic that is slightly above the toxicological reference value (TRV) in the deterministic assessment. In the probabilistic assessment, the exposure for all elements is below the TRV. The results for sensitive land use are applicable to a scenario where the site is developed for general housing. The deterministic point estimates and the probabilistic estimates of the 95th percentile are also here in approximately the same ranges, but the exposure exceeds the TRV for arsenic, cadmium and lead. Drinking water, vegetables grown on site and soil ingestion are the major exposure pathways for this scenario. In this assessment, the estimated intake distributions are applicable to a randomly selected individual. The probability distributions used here to characterize the different soil parameters are typically representing both variability and uncertainty, and the same is true the majority of the exposure variables. We therefore decided not to attempt to separate variability and uncertainty at this stage, but with additional data from a more in-depth site investigation it might be possible to achieve this. Conclusions and Outlook   To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first report on a probabilistic risk assessment on a former iron and steel works site. The materials handled by this industry were less toxic than for many other metallurgical operations, but contaminants may still severely limit the options for future land use. This case study shows that probabilistic exposure estimates for a set of soil contaminants can be quite similar to deterministic point estimates. The main difference is instead to be found in the additional information obtained with the probabilistic assessment. The sensitivity analyses show pathways and input variables that contribute most to variations in the total intake of each contaminant, e.g. dermal contact and ingestion of soil, vegetables and drinking water. This information can be used both in the planning of future land use and for active measures to reduce current exposure. The probabilistic assessment also provides information on the magnitude of exposure and the margin of safety. This information may facilitate risk communication between decision-makers and stakeholders. The presentation of results from probabilistic risk assessments is only briefly discussed in the literature and here we see a need for research and opportunities for enhancement. The choice of data analytical tools may then be of importance, since more complex multimedia models are rather difficult to decipher when implemented within traditional spreadsheet software. Some of the research needs are identified here and in a previous review article in this journal.     

密云水库水源涵养林对水质的影响

 为给密云水库流域的水质保护规划和控制措施提供理论依据,以密云县北庄镇为试验区对水源涵养林进行调查,对地表水进行监测,分析水质中存在的主要问题及其产生的原因。自2000年密云水库流域开始实施“退耕还林”工程以来,森林面积不断增加,减少了由于农田施肥造成的非点源污染,使地表水水质的浑浊度和氨氮指标有所下降。以油松林和板栗林为例,对降雨流经森林生态系统各环节的水质进行监测、分析,说明密云水库流域水源涵养林与降雨之间的淋溶、交换、吸附等过程对降雨具有净化作用。     

小麦和土壤中环丙唑醇残留消解动态及膳食摄入评估

为评价环丙唑醇在小麦生产上应用的安全性,通过建立乙腈提取、氮磷检测器检测方法对小麦籽粒、植株和土壤样品中环丙唑醇的残留量进行检测,研究了小麦籽粒、植株和土壤中环丙唑醇的残留及其消解动态,并对小麦中的残留量进行风险评估。结果表明,环丙唑醇在小麦籽粒、植株及土壤空白样品中的添加回收率为79.2%~95.6%,相对标准偏差为1.9%~10.0%,最小检出量为8.2×10?12 g,在小麦籽粒、植株及土壤中的最低检测浓度均为0.05 mg·kg?1,乙腈提取、氮磷检测器检测方法重现性好,准确度、精密度高,可满足环丙唑醇在小麦上的残留分析要求。2010年和2011年,河南省、黑龙江省和江苏省3地环丙唑醇在小麦植株和土壤中的消解半衰期分别为3.0~5.5 d、18.1~34.5 d;不同施药次数、施药量及采样间隔,环丙唑醇在小麦籽粒中的最终残留量均≤0.415 mg·kg?1。采收间隔期为14 d和21 d时,不同施药次数、施药剂量和采收间隔期,环丙唑醇在小麦植株、小麦籽粒和土壤中的残留量差异均不显著;采收间隔期为7 d,有效成分108 g?hm-2施药2次与有效成分162 g?hm-2施药3次时小麦植株、小麦籽粒和土壤中的残留量之间均存在显著性差异。普通人群环丙唑醇的国家估算每日摄入量为0.000 109 9 mg,占日允许摄入量的0.5%左右,按本试验方式进行施药,通常不会对一般人群健康产生不可接受的风险。     

农村土地综合整治社会风险评价——以南京市江宁区为例

[目的]分析农村土地综合整治社会风险水平,以弥补已有农村土地综合整治社会风险诊断中指标体系及评价方法的不足。[方法]在界定农村土地综合整治社会风险内涵的基础上,从环境、制度、经济和社会4个方面构建了社会风险的评价指标体系,采用主客观赋权法和模糊综合评价模型,对南京市江宁区良田建设工程社会风险进行评价。[结果]江宁区良田建设工程总体社会风险介于第三级"风险中等"和第四级"风险较小"之间,但更接近第三级,说明工程开展的社会风险程度不高,在当地不会造成大的社会不稳定,但对于存在的社会风险仍然需要加以防范。[结论]为了进一步规避农村土地综合整治带来的社会风险,应该从完善整治目标、健全公众参与、强化工程监管和科学评估风险4个方面采取措施,促进农村土地综合整治事业的健康有效开展。     

我国畜禽养殖污染防治的产业化探析

阐述了我国畜禽养殖污染治理产业化的产业与经济基础,并指出实现畜禽养殖污染治理产业化的主要途径,即应建立包括系统的政策机制、完善的金融体制和有效的科研支持保障体系。     

节水防污型农田水利系统构建及其效果分析

不合理的农田水肥管理是造成农业面源污染的主要原因之一。为了探寻灌区水稻节水、增产和减污相统一的措施,提出运用由田间、草沟、塘堰湿地和骨干沟"四道防线"组成的系统净化农田排水,并在广西桂林市青狮潭灌区及广西灌溉试验中心站开展了系统的试验研究。通过站内不同水肥处理下对田间节水、水稻增产、氮磷流失减少指标的分析,优选水稻田间最优水肥管理模式,即采用间歇灌溉模式、施氮肥总量不变、适当减少氮肥基肥增加追肥用量;在站外根据现有的水系分布构建"四道防线"系统,分析了各道防线对农田排水的净化效果以及提高净化效果的主要措施。由"四道防线"构成的节水防污型农田水利系统对农田氮磷排放具有良好的净化效果,实现了减少农田面源污染和修复农田水环境的目的。